Wednesday, October 05, 2005

Crystal Ball Gazing | by Jay

(This post is for entertainment purposes only.)

To date...

Team
PF avg
PA avg
PF vs ND
PA vs ND
PF diff
PA diff
Pittsburgh
21.5
15.0
21
42
-0.5
+27.0
Michigan
35.5
17.8
10
17
-25.5
-0.8
Michigan State
45.8
19.0
44
41
-1.8
+22.0
Washington
21.3
25.8
17
36
-4.3
+10.3
Purdue
38.3
30.0
28
49
-10.3
+19.0
ND's average
-7.1
+12.9
_PF = Points for, PA = Points against

PF and PA averages do not include each team's ND game (but they do include games against Division 1-AA opponents, because hey, Stanford actually lost to UC-Davis. The other 1-AA games are Pitt vs Youngstown State and BYU vs Eastern Illinois).

So, ND's roughly 13 points better on offense and about a touchdown better on defense, on average. Taking those averages and applying them to our future schedule...

Team
PF avg
PA avg
Projected ND Outcome
Southern Cal
54.0
18.8
L, 32-47
BYU
27.0
28.0
W, 41-20
Tennessee
20.3
15.8
W, 29-13
Navy
28.7
28.3
W, 41-22
Syracuse
19.0
20.0
W, 33-12
Stanford
26.0
34.0
W, 47-19