Friday, December 26, 2008

Hawaii Bowl Photo Galleries | by Pat

Here are a collection of photos from the fun bowl win on Wednesday. If you notice other photo galleries, add a link in the comment section.

Right now, there are game day photos found at UND.com and the Honolulu Advertiser (plus pre-game and fan photos).

The picture of the game has to be Golden Tate hauling in yet another deep pass en route to his 177 yard, 3 TD day. NDnation poster The Irish Cardinal has a report from the game that ties into the runner-up photo.

After the game, some fan in a "Rudy" costume ran his way out on the field; he was quickly pulled off by police. His "helmet", a gold-painted cardboard box, was used by some of the players in their pics.
Here's a picture of that homemade helmet, courtesy of Asaph Schwapp.

And if you're looking to extend the luau with some game highlights, ESPN has you covered.

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

Merry Christmas | by Jay


Go Irish!

Take the Irish Bowling | by Jay

Four years ago, in the dawning days of this blog, I wrote a bit called "Insightless" about how going to the Insight.com bowl was a bad idea: Willingham had just been fired, the rest of coaching staff were lame ducks (and even traitors, in the case of Greg Mattison), we were playing a tough team we didn't really match up with, the cost of the trip was exhorbitant, and so on. Charlie had already been hired, and this bowl game felt like one final, frustrating delay before the massive house cleaning that was going to get the Irish back on the winning track. Good Lord, just get it over with already. Get this lame duck bowl game done, sweep away the old staff, and let's start fresh.

This year, there are plenty of legitimate complaints about playing in the Hawaii Bowl. For starters, some folks say that a .500 Irish team should never go to a bowl game, and I hear where those people are coming from -- there's something to be said for maintaining that stubborn Irish tradition of self-dignity. And while I'm less chagrined than some of my colleagues about this year's tropical destination, or the appearance that this is some sort of "reward" for a lackluster season, there's no getting around the fact that playing on Christmas Eve simply sucks. Of all the time slots in the bloated bowl season, it's unquestionably the worst.

I think this year's circumstances are quite different than in 2004, however, and that's why I'm glad we're going bowling, regardless of the where and when. Four years ago we should have turned down that Insight Bowl (just like we did in 1996, during another coaching transition), as it just delayed the inevitable, but this year, the trajectory is entirely different. While the 2008 season was an overall disappointment, we can all see that this is a young team still trying to find itself, a young team that's still on the rise. Expectations for next year are going to be very high, and rightly so: all that budding talent is just popping up through the topsoil. They need more practice, more reps, more live fire, and another chance to prove themselves. A bowl game is just the thing.

If you watched any of the captains' interviews this week over on UND.com, you know that the motivation for the senior class "band of brothers" is to put an end to the bowl losing streak and exact some revenge for being tagged "the worst recruiting class in ND history." (Like Paul mentioned to me, I'm sorry, but after watching the Grimes-Crum-Bruton press conference, all my opposition to the Hawai'i Bowl as a destination, Christmas Eve or not, vanished.) But for the rest of the team, for all the guys returning -- and that's most of them -- I think playing a bowl game is an important rung on the ladder towards continued improvement.

And just imagine if we actually won this thing. A bowl win would put a capper on the disappointment of 2008, and begin to set the stage for next year. An Irish bowl win would be a stocking stuffed with gifts, instead of a lump of coal. It'd be like George Bailey being visited by that Angel. It'd be Brian Boitano brokering a peace between Jesus and Santa Claus. It'd be the former Bishop of Turkey putting a present in your wooden shoe, instead of hitting you with a switch.

All in all, it'd be a bona fide Christmas (Eve) miracle.

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

A Closer Look at Hawaii | by Pat

Ok, let's take a look at this Hawaii team that will be facing off against Notre Dame in a little over 24 hours. Feel free to add any comments, corrections, or criticisms. Also, make sure to check out Tombo's work at UHFootball.blogspot.com. He does a great job covering Hawaii football.

First off, Hawaii's season to date:

L @ Florida (12-1) 10-56
W Weber State (10-4) 36-17
L @ Oregon State (8-4) 17-45
L San Jose State (6-6) 17-20
W @ Fresno State (7-6) 32-29
W Louisiana Tech (7-5) 24-14
L
@ Boise State (12-0) 7-27
W
Nevada (7-5) 38-31
L
@ Utah State (3-9) 14-30
W @ New Mexico State (3-9) 42-30
W
Idaho (2-10) 49-17
W Washington State (2-11) 24-10
L Cincinnati (11-2) 24-29
Now let's take a look at the positions.

Quarterback

Greg Alexander
. RS Junior
2008 stats: 131 completions, 206 attempts, 1634 yards, 12 TDs, 4 INTs.

Greg Alexander started Hawaii's first game of the season against Florida but was benched during the game for his rocky start. He rode the pine the next few games while Hawaii tried two different starting quarterbacks. Alexander returned to the field in a relief role against Nevada and wound up leading the team to a come from behind victory. Since that game he's been the starter and led Hawaii to a 4-2 record after a 3-4 start. In the last six games, Alexander has been completing nearly 65% of his passes and has a stellar 12-2 TD/INT ratio. Depth: Redshirt junior Inoke Funaki took over the starting job from Alexander early in the season but wasn't terribly effective with a poor 6/12 TD/INT ratio. Five of those interceptions came against Boise State, which led to Funaki losing his starting job. Still, Funaki provides some experienced depth off the bench if Hawaii needs him. Tyler Graunke also started a game this season, but is firmly the third QB at this point.

Running Back

Kealoha Pilares
. Sophomore.
2008 stats: 54 attempts, 281 yards, 5 TDs.

Sophomore Kealoha Pilares missed the last two games due to injury, but is expected to return to the starting lineup against Notre Dame. Hawaii's running game is ranked 108th in the nation, but Pilares averages an impressive 5.2 yards per carry. He has also spent some time working out of the slot where he has 26 receptions for 230 yards and 2 TDs. Still, his sprained right foot has been giving him a bit of trouble at recent practices so it will be interesting to see how effective he can be during the game. Depth: Senior Daniel Libre actually led the team in rushing with 431 yards on 98 attempts. He also leads the team in rushing TDs with six. If Pilares's foot starts to affect his performance, look for Libre to get the bulk of the carries in the game. 5th year senior David Farmer started three games this season and as the team's best blocking running back will see even more time if the ND defense is getting early pressure on QB Greg Alexander.

Wide Receiver

Greg Salas. RS Sophomore.
2008 stats: 50 receptions, 755 yards, 3 TDs.
Michael Washington. Senior.
2008 stats: 56 receptions, 693 yards, 5 TDs.
Malcolm Lane. Junior.
2008 stats: 31 receptions, 584 yards, 6 TDs.
Aaron Bain. Senior.
2008 stats: 44 receptions, 448 yards, 4 TDs.

Although not as prolific as last year's passing attack, Hawaii still boasts the nation's #33 passing offense. Spreading out the field with four receivers on most downs, Hawaii has a quartet with over 30 receptions this season. Michael Washington leads the team in receptions and for his efforts this season was recently named 2nd Team All-WAC. At 5'8" 170, he's also the smallest of the main Hawaii receivers. The deep threat is Malcolm Lane, who boasts an impressive 18.84 yards per catch. He also leads the team in receiving touchdowns with six. When Hawaii decides to test ND deep, Lane will be the likely target. He's also 12th in the nation in kickoff return yards with a 27.8 yard per kick return average. Another quick receiver, Greg Salas led the team in receiving yards, but was fourth in receiving TDs. He's also the team's biggest starting receiver at 6'2" 200 pounds. Rounding out the starting receivers is junior Aaron Bain. He's been getting Greg Alexander's attention as of late as he has led the team in receptions over the past four games. Depth: Redshirt junior Jon Medeiros provides a bit more depth off the bench. He only has nine receptions on the season, but caught two of them, one good for a touchdown, in the final regular season game against Cincinnati.

Tight End

Hawaii doesn't list a tight end on their roster, preferring to use multiple receivers instead.

Offensive Line

LT - Aaron Kia. RS Junior.
LG - Keith AhSoon. RS Senior.
C - John Estes. RS Junior.
RG - Lafu Tuioti-Mariner. RS Senior.
RT - Keoni Steinhoff. RS Senior.

John Estes is a solid presence in an otherwise leaky offensive line. Estes was named 1st Team All-WAC for the second straight season and has started 40 games in his college career. However, as a whole the Hawaii line has allowed an NCAA leading 49 sacks on the season. In the past two games alone, Hawaii has allowed 10 sacks. Part of the reason for the high sack numbers has been the injuries that have forced some shuffling along the line all season long. Estes and the right side of the line have started every game this season, but the left side has seen some changes. Keith AhSoon, who started at left tackle last seaosn, missed six weeks before returning to the starting lineup at left guard. Aaron Kia didn't begin the year as a starter, but came on as an injury replacement and has started the last 10 games. Depth: Laupepa Letuli started the season as the team's left tackle but was lost to injury. He's able to play now and provides depth off the bench at both tackle and guard.

Defensive Line

DE - David Veikune. RS Senior.
2008 stats:
71 tackles, 16.0 TFL, 9.0 sacks, 4 FF.
DT - Keala Watson. RS Sophomore.
2008 stats: 28 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, 2 blocked kicks.
DT - Joshua Leonard. Senior.
2008 stats: 36 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, 1 FR.
DE - John Fonoti. RS Junior.
2008 stats: 55 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 3.0 sacks, 3 FR.

In addition to being named 2nd Team All-WAC, defensive end David Veikune led the Hawaii defense in sacks and tackles for loss. He's also been on a roll lately as all nine of his sacks have come in the past six games after failing to get a single sack in the first seven games. Likewise, 11 of his 15 TFL have come in the second half of the season. 6'2" 300 pound defensive tackle Keala Watson joined Veikune on the 2nd Team All-WAC honor roll and teams with 6'3" 305 pound Joshua Leonard to give Hawaii plenty of size along the interior of the defensive line. 6'2" 255 pound John Fonoti is listed on the roster as a linebacker, but has started at defensive end all season long. He's second on the team in sacks for a defense that is currently ranked 11th in the nation in total sacks.

Linebacker


WLB - Adam Leonard. Senior.
2008 stats: 81 tackles, 7.5 TFL, 2.0 sacks.
MLB - Solomon Elimimian. Senior.
2008 stats: 112 tackles, 9.5 TFL, 3.0 sacks, 1 FR, 1 FF.
SLB - Brashton Satele. RS Junior.
2008 stats: 50 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, 1 INT, 1 FF.

Hawaii uses slighly different nomenclature for their linebacker corp. For the Warriors, Adam Leonard is the Stub linebacker while Brashton Satele is the Buck 'backer. Soloman Elimimian is the lightest of the three starting linebackers at a listed 225 pounds, which is somewhat unusual considering he is the middle linebacker. But he been more that effective at that spot. For the second straight year he has led the team in tackles and the senior with 48 career starts under his belt was also recently named Co-Defensive Player of the Year in the WAC. Adam Leonard received 1st team All-WAC honors as well after finishing the regular season as Hawaii's second leading tackler. Satele moved around a bit during the season, finally emerging as the starting Buck linebacker three games ago. He's the team's biggest starting linebacker at 6'1" 255 pounds, which will definitely help Hawaii's rush defense. Depth: R.J. Kiesel-Kauhane started three games during the year, but was far below the other starters on defense as he finished the regular season with 22 tackles, good for 14th on the team.

Defensive Back


CB - Jameel Dowling.
RS Senior.
2008 stats: 66 tackles, 2.5 TFL, 1.5 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FR.
FS - Ryan Mouton. Senior.
2008 stats: 36 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, 1 INT, 1 FR. 2 FF.
SS - Keao Monteilh. RS Senior.
2008 stats: 41 tackles, 1.5 TFL, 0.0 sacks, 5 INTs.
CB - Calvin Roberts. RS Senior.
2008 stats: 55 tackles, 2.5 TFL, 0.0 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FR.

One of the best athletes on the team, free safety Ryan Mouton was the third Hawaii defender named 1st Team All-WAC. Normally a safety, Mouton moves to the nickel back spot when Hawaii brings on an extra defensive back. Highlighting his importance to the team, Mouton also started 2 games at receiver, catching 8 passes for 71 yards. While Mouton led the team in passes broken up, his fellow safety Keao Monteilh led the team in interceptions with five. At cornerback, Jameel Dowling was 4th on the team in tackles, which usually means he was the corner that opposing teams picked on the most. Calvin Roberts was right next to Dowling as the team's fifth leading tackler so teams weren't exactly scared to throw his way either. Depth: 5th year senior Erik Robinson started most of the season at strong safety before getting injured. He is back now and will rotate in with Monteilh. When Hawaii goes to a nickel, Robinson usually will come in as the extra defensive back. 5th year senior Desmond Thomas started when Ryan Mouton missed time with an ankle injury and will see some snaps if Mouton needs a break.

Hawaii Game Analysis

The thing that jumps out at me after writing this is just how old the Hawaii team is. Of the 22 starters, only 1 (running back Pilares) isn't at least a junior. 18 of the 22 starters are at least seniors if you go by when they graduated high school. There are no true freshmen on the entire 2-deep. Contrast that with 8 freshmen on ND's 2-deep, 5 of which have started a game.

Hawaii's team is full of junior college transfers and transfers from other colleges, which explains why there are so many college veterans on the team. However, that experience hasn't translated into discipline as Hawaii leads the nation in penalties and is only second to TCU in penalties per game. It's hard to say if the penalties are more of the personal foul or false start variety, but Hawaii lately has had a reputation of hitting through the echo of the whistle. A lot of electronic ink has been used writing about ND's passion and willingness to fight back this season. How they handle an (overly) aggressive Hawaii team from the start will give us an early clue as to how the game might unfold.

I mentioned a few times how the second half improvement was noticeable in a few players like QB Greg Alexander and DE David Veikune. They certainly have stepped up their production, but it's only fair to point out that their competition over those games was hardly impressive. The first 7 opponents that Hawaii faced went a collective 62-26 on the season while the last 6 only went 28-46, including 4 teams that won 3 or fewer games. How much of that late season improvement was due to Hawaii improving and how much was due to the much lower level of competition?

Looking at the talent levels, ND has the edge at just about every position. But what has made this season so maddening is that despite the edge in talent, Notre Dame has still struggled and looked awful at times. Getting Micheal Floyd and Brian Smith back from injury will definitely help as they not only are two of the more talented players on their side of the ball, but also the two likely to fire up teammates through their play. It's easy to relax when the days leading up to the game are filled with beach parties and trips to water parks. If ND can focus and not treat thet entire bowl game trip like a vacation, ND should win, perhaps even easily. But nothing has come easy this season. Assuming ND starts out slow, they will need to avoid the 4th quarter collapses that have plagued them the latter half of the season. Both teams have been rather generous to their opponents with turnovers (ND is 85th in turnover margin, Hawaii is 90th), so it's very likely that the game could come down to which team is able to hold on the ball more. Much has been made about Hawaii's nation worst sack numbers, so if the Irish defense are ever going to have that breakout sack-filled game we've all been waiting for, now's as good a time as any.

Monday, December 22, 2008

Stocking Stuffer | by Jay

What says Christmas more than June Jones and Bob Davie breaking down the Hawaii run-and-shoot offense?



If you're questioning the appropriateness of the Bullet in any conversation about effective offense, you should know that Bob Davie -- yes, that Bob Davie -- is partially credited with helping to kill the run-and-shoot as a widespread phenomenon. This post at Smart Football (one of the best Xs and Os blogs out there) delineates the rise and eventual fall of the 4-wide choice route offense.

It becomes a study in game theory and reading and reacting. So defenses responded to this tactic. They had to keep at least one safety or another defender back to spy the RB. Why does this mean no blitzing? If the RB is able to block the end man on the line of scrimmage while another player must sit back and not blitz, simply to see whether or not the RB releases on a screen. The net result was that R&S teams rarely, if ever, saw Cover 0 blitzing man defenses. They could always release four receivers, block with six (assuming their six could block the other teams' six) and not face any overload blitzes.

Enter the zone blitz. Back in his days with Texas A&M, Bob Davie was an innovator. Against run and shoot teams like the University of Houston, he would run his 3-4 defense, blitz his outside LBs (thus forcing the RB to stay in and block), and drop off defensive linemen and interior linebackers so he could still play zone with six to eight defenders. As a result the R&S's protection and formation scheme broke down. They blocked with six, had the running back on a bad matchup with a good OLB, faced an unblocked rusher, but the defense still had 6-8 guys in coverage, so the R&S's "hot reads" and breakoffs did not work either. The run and shoot finally had to adapt. Sure they could do things like certain quick breakoffs and other gadgets, but free rushers and seven guys in coverage was a losing battle for the QB.

So it was not merely "disguising coverages," (as Run and Shoot QBs and receivers were well coached and could still find the voids or the single man), or the blitzing (as shown above, Run and Shoot teams could defeat the blitz), it was the defensive combination of always being able to always get an unblocked rusher, eat the RB, and run a disguised zone that eventually rattled and slowed down the "pure" Run and Shoot.
I like our matchups on defense in this game, both from a personnel standpoint (a pretty solid defensive backfield) and scheme-wise (plenty of experience in zone blitzing).

Sunday, December 21, 2008

Aloha means Hello | by Jay

Tombo at UHFootball does a thorough job of keeping up with all the news surrounding Warriors football; his blog is a great resource for keeping tabs on everything leading up the Hawaii Bowl this week.

Case in point: this morning Tombo linked a short Ferd Lewis column from the Honolulu Advertiser, recalling Gerry Faust's 1984 Aloha Bowl appearance. Pretty interesting set of comparisons.

To that point Faust had gone 25-19-1 at Notre Dame and had drawn heavy flak for it.

He needed a win to close the '84 season, something to help project a robust '85 and beyond.

Sound familiar?

Weis is 28-21 (.571), percentage-wise very similar to Faust's record (.568) at the same four-year point. Though it could be argued Faust played the tougher schedules.

And for a while in the fourth quarter of that bowl game a generation ago it looked like the Irish, with Allen Pinkett and Mike Golic, would get the win in classic Irish comeback fashion for Faust, right up until the time quarterback Steve Beuerlein's last-gasp pass came up short in the end zone in a 27-20 loss.

Then, the questions about Faust's tenure heightened, percolating into 1985, which would become the gentlemanly coach's last season in South Bend...

Thursday, December 18, 2008

Bowl Season...A Trivial Matter | by Pat

It's Finals Week at Notre Dame, so sharpen your pencils and turn off all cellphones. Here's your take home exam for Notre Dame Bowl History 101. Please show your work and remember, search engines are against the Honor Code.

1. What was Notre Dame's last bowl win?

2. What was Notre Dame's first bowl game? Did they win?

3. We know about the bowl losing streak. What was ND's longest bowl winning streak?

4. How many times did ND play the #1 team in the country (per AP poll) in a bowl game?

5. Not counting the upcoming Hawaii Bowl, how many different Bowls has ND played in?

a. 6
b. 7
c. 9
d. 10
6. What Bowl game has Notre Dame played in the most?

7. Which Notre Dame Bowl game had the highest attendance?

8. When ND reentered the bowl scene in 1970, what was the financial justification?
a. new construction on campus
b. women's sports
c. minority scholarships
d. new equipment for the band
9. Of the 19 different teams that Notre Dame has played in a bowl game, three opponents have been played three separate times. Name them.

10. What ND player said this about his final bowl game?
"I didn’t have much to say after the game. I was in no shape to talk. Or walk. I was so bruised, so cut up I was a scab from elbow to elbow, from knee to knee – they literally had to cut my pants off."

"By the time I got back to the hotel, after the trainers and the doctors got through with me, all my teammates had gone out, and I had no idea where they were. So I sat in the hallway of the hotel, all alone with a case of beer, and celebrated the end of my college career."
Extra Credit:

What will be the final score of the 2008 Hawaii Bowl?

Monday, December 15, 2008

In the Zone | by Jay

Here's the SBT article some of you were clamoring for, quoting Tom Thayer, former Irish lineman and the current Voice of the Chicago Bears. The piece just came out on Friday, but has already been hashed out on message boards far and wide, so forgive us if it's old news to you. I think Thayer makes a couple of pointed observations, one going to technique, and the other to scheme.

Insightful: I pay attention when former players at the highest level (Thayer played in the NFL for a number of years, and even has a Super Bowl ring from '85) are critical of technique. Thayer says the current Irish linemen are strong, but have poor footwork and exhibit a woeful lack of "choreography." Clearly, the Irish rushing attack is rather punchless; take a look at the "highlights" of the rushing attack against Michigan State, as but one example from the year. How much of this is due to poor coaching is anyone's guess, but when former linemen can identify poor footwork from a television broadcast, it's probably time to reassess your technique.

Debatable: Thayer's critique of zone blocking -- the scheme, in other words -- as the main culprit. "To me zone blocking is a bunch of crap," Thayer says and he goes on to deride the entire concept. To me, this reads as personal preference more than anything else, and it also flies in the face of successful zone blocking implementations elsewhere in college football, as at Southern Cal. (For an excellent discourse on the Trojan's zone blocking, check out this post from Trojan Football Analysis, one of the better Xs and Os blogs out there, and one we've had linked on the sidebar for quite a while now.)

I also ran across this quote from David Cutcliffe, another collegiate offensive guru known to use zone blocking from time to time.

Years ago in short yardage, UT would line up with two tight ends and run inside the tackles behind a strong lead blocker. Now days, UT has often gone with an empty backfield set or even the shotgun on third-and-short. And UT does more zone blocking. But Cutcliffe said the Vols aren’t primarily a zone blocking team in short yardage.

"We’re always going to do a combination," Cutcliffe said.

Cutcliffe said zone blocking is somewhat misunderstood. For example, in zone blocking, if a guard has a defensive linemen lined up in front of him, it becomes a drive block.

"It’s a little bit misunderstood by most people," Cutcliffe said. "Some people think you’re blocking an area and you’re soft. I don’t want anything about our offense to be soft."

When UT got the defensive look it wanted against Cal and ran the zone blocking scheme, the Vols averaged 7 yards per play, Cutcliffe said.

"We were getting double teams at the point of attack," Cutcliffe said. "I probably didn’t call that enough."
If you want to make the case that zone blocking doesn't work for Notre Dame, or for this group of Irish linemen, that's one thing. (And to his credit, Thayer says he'd go to the blackboard to show us, so he's willing to back up what he says). But an indictment of all zone blocking seems to be painting with a broad brush, and maybe a bit partisan to boot.

Lastly, I'd like to point out the one area where this line made great strides: pass protection. You can chalk it up to a reinvigorated passing attack, or more headiness on the part of one James Clausen, or better blitz pickup by the running backs, but the numbers speak for themselves: 20 sacks given up, down from 58 last year. That's the lowest total in Charlie's tenure, and tied for the lowest total going back to 1998. And on a per-pass-attempt basis, it's good for 31st nationally, which isn't too shabby.

Sunday, December 14, 2008

Coach's Challenge | by Jay

An un-retouched 10-second clip from the Southern Cal game.

Saturday, December 13, 2008

Teenage Wedding | by Jay

A quick check-in on the Pick Six while we're in a holding pattern until the final AP Poll, issued after the bowls wrap up. Take a look.

This football season featured some surprising upstarts, and also exposed some overated pretenders. Take a look at the current AP standings juxtaposed with the preseason AP poll. It's a bit stunning to see how far some of the preseason mighty have fallen (and just how non-predictive the preseason polls really are.) At least the preseason top 5 are all still ranked; some years, it's much more embarrassing.

Current AP Poll, 12/13/08
Rk Team Record Pts Pts PRE. Change
1 Florida (50) 12-1 1602 1415 +187
2 Oklahoma (9) 12-1 1540 1444 +96
3 Texas (6) 11-1 1530 966 +564
4 Alabama 12-1 1410 89 +1,321
5 USC 11-1 1372 1490 -118
6 Penn State 11-1 1259 293 +966
7 Utah 12-0 1225 53 +1,172
8 Texas Tech 11-1 1193 786 +407
9 Boise State 12-0 1101 17 +1,084
10 Ohio State 10-2 1069 1506 -437
11 TCU 10-2 921 0 +921
12 Cincinnati 11-2 863 44 +819
13 Oklahoma State 9-3 853 0 +853
14 Georgia Tech 9-3 761 0 +761
15 Oregon 9-3 710 366 +344
16 Georgia 9-3 599 1528 -929
17 Brigham Young 10-2 477 590 -113
18 Pittsburgh 9-3 428 85 +343
19 Michigan State 9-3 423 21 +402
20 Mississippi 8-4 389 0 +389
21 Virginia Tech 9-4 318 578 -260
22 Northwestern 9-3 262 0 +262
23 Ball State 12-1 249 0 +249
24 Oregon State 8-4 163 5 +158
25 Missouri 9-4 150 1266 -1,116

Boston College 9-4 95 32 +63

Florida State 8-4 13 41 -28

East Carolina 9-4 12 0 +12

West Virginia 8-4 12 1116 -1,104

California 8-4 8 59 -51

Rice 9-3 6 0 +6

Nebraska 8-4 5 2 +3

Tulsa 10-3 2 7 -5

Iowa 8-4 4 0 +4

Rutgers 7-5 1 32 -31
Preseaon AP Poll
Rk Team Pts Pts Now
Change
1 Georgia (22) 1528 599 -929
2 Ohio State (21) 1506 1069 -437
3 USC (12) 1490 1372 -118
4 Oklahoma (4) 1444 1540 +96
5 Florida (6) 1415 1602 +187
6 Missouri 1266 150 -1,116
7 LSU 1135 0 -1,135
8 West Virginia 1116 12 -1,104
9 Clemson 1105 0 -1,105
10 Auburn 968 0 -968
11 Texas 966 1530 +564
12 Texas Tech 786 1193 +407
13 Wisconsin 771 0 -771
14 Kansas 707 0 -707
15 Arizona State 631 0 -631
16 Brigham Young 590 477 -113
17 Virginia Tech 578 318 -260
18 Tennessee 509 0 -509
19 South Florida 496 0 -496
20 Illinois 483 0 -483
21 Oregon 366 710 +344
22 Penn State 293 1259 +966
23 Wake Forest 227 0 -227
24 Alabama 89 1410 +1,321
25 Pittsburgh 85 428 +343

South Carolina 84 0 -84

Fresno State 83 0 -83

California 59 8 -51

Utah 53 1225 +1,172

Cincinnati 44 863 +819

Florida State 41 13 -28

Michigan 36 0 -36

Boston College 32 95 +63

Rutgers 32 1 -31

Michigan State 21 423 +402

Boise State 17 1101 +1,084

Arkansas 14 0 -14

North Carolina 14 0 -14

Connecticut 10 0 -10

Tulsa 7 2 -5

UCLA 6 0 -6

Oregon State 5 163 +158

Mississippi State 4 0 -4

Virginia 4 0 -4

Arizona 3 0 -3

Nebraska 2 5 +3

Notre Dame 2 0 -2

Hawaii 1 0 -1

Washington 1 0 -1

If you go by AP points, it looks like LSU, Mizzou, Clemson, West Virginia and Auburn turned out to be the biggest flops this year, although Georgia (or maybe those who picked them) should get a special boobie prize, having garnered 22 preseason 1st-place votes but ending up with three losses and a rousing #14 ranking. On the positive side of the ledger, Alabama, Utah, Boise State, Penn State and TCU were the biggest surprises.

It goes to show you never can tell.

Tuesday, December 09, 2008

Cowart Snaps up Scholarship | by Pat

Add one more committed recruit to the Class of 2009. Florida footballer Jordan Cowart picked up a scholarship offer from ND last week and quickly turned that into a public commitment. He had been offered the chance to come to ND as a preferred walk-on, but lately ND had been suggesting the possibility of a full ride. When that offer finally came through, Cowart quickly accepted.

At 6'2" 225, Cowart is different from just about any other ND recruit in recent memory in that he was recruited specifically as a long snapper. Normally that position is held by back up offensive linemen or a walk-on, but ND must have felt the need to solidify a critical, but often low profile spot on the Irish special teams unit.

Notre Dame was the first school to offer Cowart a scholarship, but according to Irish Illustrated he was also hearing from Florida, Georgia, Miami, Louisville, and Wisconsin. He is unranked on Rivals.com while Scout lists him as a 2-star recruit. ESPN is a bit more generous listing him as the 68th "athlete" recruit with an overall grade of 77 (same as they gave Nyshier Oliver, Alex Bullard, and Jake Golic). ESPN also had some rather high praise for Cowart when it comes to his specialty.

I can't imagine there to be a better long snapper in the country than Cowart. He has a lot of velocity on his punt snaps; very little arc on the 14 yd. snap. Punt snaps are not only fast enough, they are accurate thus making it easy for the punter to handle. Short snaps mirror the long snaps in terms of speed and accuracy. The short snaps are a tight spiral and consistently hit the holders hands. Cowart also carries a big enough frame to provide solid protection as a snapper. There is no doubt he is destined to be a Division 1 long snapper.
If you're going to use a scholarship on a niche position, getting one considered the best at what he does certainly doesn't hurt. Backing up ESPN's opinion, Cowart attended the Chris Sailer National Kicking and Snapping Camp and was named one of the top underclassmen long snappers.

It is still a bit curious that ND decided to use a scholarship on a long snapper, but at least there is room in the current class, he's considered one of the best at what he does, and he will help ND keep a pipeline going to one of the most talent filled Catholic high schools in the country. Cowart attends St. Thomas Aquinas in Fort Lauderdale, same high school as incoming punter Ben Turk, Sam Young, and Dan Wenger.

ND's long snapping was an issue from the start of the season as six different players were listed as possibilities and a few bad snaps cost ND points against San Diego State. Walk-on Kevin Brooks eventually won the long snapping job, but if Cowart is as advertised, he just might take over the job for four years. It is noteworthy that ND will have three kickers, two punters, and one long snapper on scholarship next season. Three special teams players alone fill up the current recruiting class. With Maust and Burkhart entering their senior year, ND did need to look towards the future with regards to special teams, but I can't remember a time when ND had so many specialists on scholarship.

Monday, December 08, 2008

Mele Kalikimaka is the thing to say... | by Pat

As expected, the Hawai'i Bowl is ecstatic that Notre Dame, even at 6-6, fell into their lap.

Calling it a "Christmas wish" come true, the Sheraton Hawai'i Bowl has assembled the most anticipated pairing of its seven-year history, matching the University of Hawai'i football team with tradition-rich Notre Dame for the Dec. 24 game at Aloha Stadium.
Notre Dame fans on the other hand seem rather divided on the choice for a number of reasons. The first involves the very fact that the game is being played on Christmas Eve. Add in the cost of flying the team and assorted staff out to Hawai'i, the proximity to finals, and the displeasure of a 6-6 ND team even going to a bowl game and it should be no surprise that many fans are grumbling about the decision to accept the Hawai'i bowl bid.

The Honolulu Advertiser article linked above does a nice job running down ND's bowl options as the season finished up.
But the Pac-10, in an uncharacteristically down year, was struggling to meet its obligation to send a sixth selection and it was feared the Hawai'i Bowl might have to look to a less recognizable representative from the much-less prestigious Mid-American or Sun Belt conferences to find UH an opponent.

At that point, the Honolulu-based Matlin lobbied the game's owner, ESPN Regional Television of Charlotte, N.C., to lay the groundwork for the long-shot possibility of Notre Dame, enlisting Derzis, ERT vice president, in the cause.

But, Matlin said, "a lot had to happen" in a process that others involved have compared to a "root canal."

Slowly, it unfolded.

The Irish were stunned by 3-9 Syracuse, 24-23, removing them from consideration from the Konica Minolta Gator Bowl in Jacksonville, Fla. Notre Dame's 38-3 loss to Southern California coupled with Louisville's 63-14 loss to Rutgers opened the way for Pittsburgh to represent the Big East in the Brut Sun Bowl instead of the Irish.

Then, the Pac-10 was able to field only five bowl-eligible teams because Stanford, UCLA and Arizona State all suffered crucial late losses and were unable to get to 6-6.

That made the Irish, at 6-6, an at-large team available to negotiate once the remaining teams with winning records, Western Michigan (9-3) and Louisiana Tech (7-5), were placed. Under NCAA rules, all teams with winning records must be accommodated before those with .500 marks.

The Independence Bowl in Shreveport, La., Papajohns.com Bowl in Birmingham, Ala., Motor City Bowl in Detroit and Texas Bowl in Houston joined the Hawai'i Bowl as the Irish's options over the weekend. All put a full-court press on Notre Dame and all offered major TV exposure except Texas, which has an NFL Network deal.

Irish spokesman John Heisler said officials researched the various bowls and asked the players for input. They reportedly strongly favored the Hawai'i Bowl (BGS ed. they picked Christmas in Waikiki over Detroit? Shocking!), but Heisler said a vote wasn't taken.
The article goes on to talk about ND making sure to finish up finals before flying out for the game and the fact they are already expecting to lose money on the trip. There may be more public comments on the decision, likely starting today, so we'll wait for those and any more facts that might surface before chiming in.

Bowling | by Jeff

For anyone who hasn't heard yet, looks like we will be spending Christmas Eve in front of our TVs watching the Irish take on Hawai'i in the Hawai'i Bowl.

vs

Friday, December 05, 2008

the Winter of our Discontent | by Jay

It strikes me, after a couple of drinks, that we might actually be witnessing a classical 5-act dramatic structure unfolding before us. After setting the stage in the first two acts, our protagonist has suffered a stunning reversal of luck in Act III, and has been trying to pull himself out of it during the falling action of Act IV. The narrative, like all narratives do, will reach a dénouement in Act V.

The only question to ponder...are we watching a comedy, or a tragedy?

Being Jack Swarbrick | by Pete

A mental exercise, if you will. Let's say you're Jack Swarbrick. (you're Jack Swarbrick ...)

After all the rumors, scuttlebutt, and alleyway whispers have come and gone, you find yourself sitting in a room with Charlie Weis on Tuesday for two hours in San Jose, talking about the future of the program and what needs to be done to fix it. You're about to tell him of your decision to either keep him for another year, or chuck him out the door. And here's what you might say.

Charlie, before we get to changes, let's look at the reality of the situation.

• You and I both you know you have a lengthy contract with this University, and it's more than a little likely there is a semi-sizable buyout provision included in that contract. Considering these rough economic times, and considering we just finished paying an individual not to work at this university, we're not particularly interested in doing that again. We'll do it if we have to, but we'd rather not.

• We also know this football program hasn't sniffed stability since the late 90s, and establishing the program's reputation as a coaching slaughterhouse is similarly not in our best interests.

• Furthermore, as of right now, no slam-dunk, premier coaches are currently available or capable of taking the job.

• And while there are promising, up-and-coming candidates for your job that I have been in contact with, Notre Dame has had the bad habit recently of bringing in coaches who end up being unqualified for the position. I'm not particularly interested in rolling the dice on an upstart just yet to find myself having this same conversation 4 years from now with them.


So, what do I like about what you've done?

• Recruiting, even with recent setbacks on the field, appears to be holding steady at a very successful rate. Your work ethic in this area is top-notch, as are your results. Talent is coming into the program, and that's an inherently healthy thing.

• And considering that you've assembled a very talented roster, we'd like to keep it. Dismissing you and risking a number of transfers just when the roster is beginning solidify is not a smart long-term move.

• While I have serious issues with your staff -- I'll get to these later -- you've not only shown a willingness over your time with us to address areas of deficiency (specifically on the defense), and you have shown the ability to land the hires that will fix those problems. That's good, because you'll be needing to do it again.

• Furthermore, you've shown a willingness to make changes to your own coaching style. Obviously, undergoing a head coach's learning curve here is less than ideal, but that's on Notre Dame as much as it's on you. We appreciate you were willing to take the job in the first place, and you've shown some examples of being able to learn and adapt.

• You are, indeed, an alumnus of this fine university, and while oftentimes that can be dismissed as a squishy, feel-good intangible, it is a positive aspect of your tenure here, and one that we would likely lose if we took on another coach. You understand the traditions and the standards we uphold, and you don't try to work against them. In short, you "get" the place, and not every coach we could bring in could say that.

• It seems like a long, long time ago for both of us, but there was a time when you were guiding this team to outstanding records, BCS bowl appearances, and fielding All-Americans and Heisman Trophy contenders. You've had two good seasons and two bad ones. I'd like to see you figure out how to return to the former category, which you are obviously capable of. If we didn't think you were capable of success here, we wouldn't be having this conversation.

• Thanks to your outstanding recruiting, starting next Fall we will finally have a full and talented depth chart for the first time in many years. The pieces will be in place. We want to see what you can do with it, once inexperience truly is no longer an arguable issue.

• And at the very least, keeping you around for one more year -- presuming your recruiting continues to be successful -- ensures a stable base of talent for your successor to use. Harsh, but true.


The previous items in your favor are why I'm willing to have this conversation, and why you're meeting with me instead of a FedEx guy delivering a pink slip. However, the reason this conversation was even necessary is as follows:

• At this point, it's evident that you and your coaches are not adequately preparing our players for Saturday. Fundamentals are fundamentally lacking and execution is inconsistent. Changes have to be made, and while you've shored up the defensive side of the ball, it's now time for you to fix the offense and put together a complete team.

• While the team is admittedly talented, they've grossly underperformed for the past two years. If you're not coaching fundamentals properly, it does me no good to keep you, even with more talent incoming, if it's just being squandered. While youth and inexperience was a legitimate scapegoat in 2007, it was no longer a credible excuse in 2008, and the team does not appear to be as far enough along as it should be. There are many reasons to believe that your over-reliance on schematic wizardry meant that you've ignored the most basic of football fundamentals, with lack of consistent first downs on offense, especially on short yardage, being Exhibit A. I don't care how good your playbook is if the team can't make it work on the field. If you want to spend your time finding the chinks in the armor of every opponent under the sun and taking advantage of them with complex schemes, you can go back to being an offensive coordinator in the NFL. We need a head coach and an offensive staff that will get the most out of our players and consistently move the ball down the field.

• What's more, because of your frustrating inability to field competitive teams against top talent and a subpar win-loss record, your credibility with many alumni and fans of the program is rapidly approaching nil. If many of them were in my shoes, you would've been unemployed after the Boston College game. You've got a big hole to climb out of.

• Many of your underlying problems have lingered for a number of years, and I'm not sure one more year is enough to correct these deep-seated disadvantages. I am skeptical but willing to give you one more year. You need to prove me wrong.


So, Charlie, we've decided to retain you for now, both for reasons of your own merit and reasons entirely outside of your control. However, rest assured that serious and fundamental changes need to be made to the program, and we will be keeping a very, very close eye on the development of this team. We want you to succeed, and we will help you to achieve that end, but we won't sit around forever waiting for you to stop failing.

(End Swarbrick)

That's a whole lot of variables to take into account, but it seems like the crux of the decision was that, at this point in time, the devil we knew in Weis was better than the devil we didn't know in whatever other coach would or could take the job. Recent interviews given by Swarbrick seem to confirm this (see Blue & Gold's two-parter, here and here.) Now it's up to Charlie.

Thursday, December 04, 2008

Due Diligence | by Jay

This is sort of moot now, but we were preparing a Coaching Broadsheet in the event that a coaching change was imminent. It lists all the Div 1 coaches, all the NFL coaches (page 2), and gives some preliminary scoring in terms of "desirability" as gauged by some of the BGS crew. Grayed-out lines are the guys we know weren't possibilities. It's sorted by career winning percentage.

If nothing else, it's kind of neat to see it all layed out like this. (Credit to Coaches Hotseat for a lot of the raw data.)

Also, our buddy Dave was hard at work on some Profiles for Potential Candidates. Enjoy. We'll keep it in the top drawer.

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Verbal Commit | by Pat

As expected, Notre Dame addressed Charlie's future today. Here is a copy of the press release.

NOTRE DAME, Ind. -- Charlie Weis will continue as head football coach at the University of Notre Dame, University athletics director Jack Swarbrick announced today (Dec. 3).

Swarbrick, who made the decision in consultation with University president Rev. John I. Jenkins, C.S.C., met with Weis in California on Tuesday to review this past season, discuss plans for 2009 and communicate his decision.

“Though this past season fell short of the expectations that all of us have for our football program, I am confident that Charlie has a strong foundation in place for future success and that the best course of action is to move forward under his leadership,” said Swarbrick.

“He, I and the others involved in leading our football program are committed to doing everything necessary to ensure a successful 2009 season. We are examining every aspect of the program and will make changes wherever we think they are needed.”

Weis’ four-season record at Notre Dame is 28-21 after his first two Irish teams in ’05 and ’06 finished 9-3 and 10-3, respectively, and made Bowl Championship Series appearances. The Football Writers Association of America named Weis its 2005 Eddie Robinson Coach of the Year Award winner as the national college coach of the year...
For those fans still inclined to rage, rage against the dying of the light, notice that Swarbrick in his lawyer-esque glory leaves the future pretty much wide open, e.g., we're going to "move forward under his leadership," rather than commit to and fully support Charlie. What's striking is what Swarbrick did not say. No definite time frame is indicated; not even Charlie will be our coach in 2009. At this point, the odds of ND reversing course are extremely low, but the tepidness in this statement is revealing. Swarbrick said the very least he could have said, while still supporting Charlie for the time being.

Moreover, I think there's a pretty definite undercurrent of dissatisfaction with the whole thing in Swarbrick's words. "This past season fell short of the expectations that all of us have for our football program," and we'll "make changes wherever we think they are needed" should be a harbinger of further developments.

Rewind It | by Pat

Certainly an interesting past few hours, but let's back up the soap opera that is ND football a few days and see just how we got to this point.

Saturday night. A pre-game shoving match gave a faint flicker of hope that ND would come out and be able to at least look competent against the stout Trojan defense for a prime time ESPN showdown. But that flicker was quickly extinguished. ND didn't pick up a first down until the final play of the 3rd quarter. While it showed fight, the defense was just over-matched by the Trojan offense. Only a Brandon Walker field goal kept ND from a second straight shutout loss to Southern Cal. 38-3 was the final tally, but the game wasn't even that close.

Fans and the media had their knives out for Charlie and looked to Athletic Director Jack Swarbrick for immediate reaction. Swarbrick's response though was vague and pointed to nothing happening, either in terms of firing or athletic department vote of confidence, for at least a week.

"We sit down and evaluate every program the same way at the end of the season. We look at a host of factors, from graduation rate to GPA, and we ask how can we make things better. That's the way we do it.

"I'm saying nothing will happen until we complete the entire review process. It doesn't assume something will happen."

The AD said he and Weis will next meet a week from Monday.
Sunday. As he did in 2006, Charlie stayed out on the West Coast following the game to visit with recruits in the area. One of the first stops was with receiver Shaq Evans, who then relayed the following information to the various ND recruiting sites.
"I asked him about his job status," Evans told the web site after Weis visited him Sunday. "He told me he's good to go; he'll be there. He said he made sure he's good before he left and it's just the media spreading that he's going to get fired. He said if he didn't know if he was going to be there or not he would tell me. It makes me feel good that he'll be there."
Back in the Midwest, Coach Ianello echoed similar statements.
"Coach Ianello told me that Coach Weis is still the head coach at Notre Dame and that he plans to be the head coach at Notre Dame," Watt told the Web site. "You just never really know what can happen I guess at any school with any coach, but I definitely feel better about everything going on these days at Notre Dame."
Of course, both statements were the sort of vague coach-speak that manage to be declarative without actually saying anything definite. Meanwhile, Swarbrick was still out of the office on business, which fueled message board and email rumors that he was vetting replacement candidates. Otherwise, why not endorse Charlie after the SC game and give him that public stamp of approval to help out recruiting?

Monday. Yesterday was largely quiet as Charlie was busy flying out to Hawaii to meet with 5-star linebacker Manti Te'o. Rumors, emails, and informed scuttlebutt about Swarbrick tended to center on either a plan to go after Cincinnati's Brian Kelly, or longer shot candidates like Urban Meyer, who per contractual obligations could not speak with other programs until after the SEC Championship game this coming Sunday. My personal opinion was that Swarbrick was trying to swing for the fences with a coach like Urban or Jon Gruden while at the same time doing more due diligence on Brian Kelly to see if a coach with only two years of BCS level experience was ready to take over a pressure packed job like Notre Dame.

The recruiting services caught up with the Te'o family following Charlie's visit and the message delivered was more of the same. The family was very impressed with Charlie who delivered the message of returning to ND.
Despite reports about Weis' tenure at Notre Dame, Te'o said Weis assured him he would still be the Irish coach next season.
Tuesday. Things were fairly subdued earlier in the day until Brian Kelly came out with his most strongly worded, yet still coach-speak, quote about returning to Cincinnati for the 2009 season.
"All I can say is that with all the speculation and all the jobs that have been out there, sooner or later 'no' means 'no,"' Kelly said. "Again, no one can ever speak in terms of forever and ever, but what I can tell you is there's been a lot of interest in my services, and I want to be here at the University of Cincinnati because of the right reasons."
A few hours after that...internet bedlam. Charlie Weis coming back to ND.

The Irish Eyes report was quickly corroborated by WNDU. ESPN and many other national outlets picked up the story and started with run with it. The school was contacted, but ND neither confirmed nor denied the reports.
The Chicago Sun-Times contacted the school, but Brian Hardin, the sports information director for football, said that he was not aware of any announcement. Notre Dame athletics director Jack Swarbrick did not respond to requests for comment from ESPN.com, and Weis was on a recruiting trip to Hawaii and California.

"When we have something to say and it's the appropriate time to say it, we'll say it," Notre Dame spokesman John Heisler said.
Notre Dame is now more or less forced to give out some sort of information today. At this point it's unclear if there will be a press conference or just a press release issued to the media.

In the meantime, F5 keys are being worn to the nub by the Irish masses as the more excitable sections of the fan base does its best Lord Denethor impersonation over the death of Notre Dame football. (Or, is the ND administration Denethor, content to send a battered son back into the fray one last time on a presumably hopeless mission hoping that somehow history won't repeat itself? Or, should I just end this painfully nerdy reference?)

I keep rolling the facts, rumors, and innuendo around in my head, trying to figure out what exactly went down the past few days behind the scenes, but there doesn't seem to be much rhyme or reason. ND seemed to be letting Charlie continue the one thing he's very good at, recruiting, while presumably looking for his successor. But suddenly we get news that Charlie is indeed coming back. What caused the sudden change? Did a top target finally give a definite no? Did ND decide a coach like Kelly is not worth the 3-5 year risk? What happened to the Monday evaluation? Will we ever find out just exactly happened these past few days? And where the hell did I put that ND basketball shirt?

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

"Weis Will Return" | by Jay

It's not exactly like MacArthur returning to the Philippines, but here's the news, broken by Mike Frank of Irish Eyes.

Irish Eyes has learned first, that the Notre Dame administration will retain head football coach Charlie Weis for the 2009 season.

Sources have told Irish Eyes that athletic director Jack Swarbrick will publicly announce, most likely within the next 24 hours, that Weis will be back for his fifth season in South Bend.

There has been some uncertainty about Weis’ future since the 38-3 loss to USC, but it appears Swarbrick will be sticking behind Weis.
More to come, of course.

Monday, December 01, 2008

Shakeout | by Jay

I thought Chris Dufresne had a pretty good rundown on the BCS possibilities in the LA Times this morning.

With one week left, the BCS top five is Alabama, Oklahoma, Texas, Florida and USC.

Florida figures to jump to No. 1 or No. 2 with a win over top-ranked Alabama in the SEC title game.

If Oklahoma defeats Missouri, the Sooners are positioned to grab a BCS title-game spot.

Texas will sit at home, at 11-1, hoping Missouri can pull off the upset that allows the Longhorns to claim the BCS berth.

These are the likely scenarios.

There is no predicting what happens if Alabama suffers its first loss on a last-second field goal. Might the Crimson Tide drop only to No. 2 and earn a rematch with Florida?

What if Oklahoma looks horrible in beating Missouri? Might voters, knowing their ballots are going to be public, reconsider Texas when the final BCS standings are released this Sunday?

Mystery, as much as percentage points, is part of the equation.

Texas also might have a shot at claiming the Associated Press crown. Texas is No. 3 behind Alabama and Florida in that poll, which the AP pulled out of the BCS after the great Texas-Cal fiasco of 2004.

Texas could move to No. 2 in place of the Alabama-Florida loser and stake its national-title claim from there.

USC won the AP title in 2003 after it was snubbed from the BCS title game despite finishing No. 1 in the coaches' and media polls.

Here, in my opinion, is how the BCS bowls are most likely to shake out:

National title: Florida vs. Oklahoma.
Rose: USC vs. Penn State.
Fiesta: Ohio State vs. Texas.
Sugar: Utah vs. Alabama.
Orange: Cincinnati vs. Boston College.
As for the 6-6 Irish, we're still bowl eligible and we'll probably be invited somewhere. CBS Sportsline has us in the Texas Bowl versus Rice on December 30th. NBC likes us in the Hawaii Bowl versus Hawaii on Christmas Eve. And Bruce Feldman of ESPN is predicting the Poinsettia Bowl (San Diego) against BYU on 12/23.