Thursday, July 12, 2007

Press Your Luck, 2007 ed. | by Jay

Pretty good response on the ticket survey: we had over 1,800 entries in our informal, unscientific and thoroughly amateur poll. Thanks for your help. (Here's last year's data, if you're interested in comparing.)

Requested & Won are in numbers of tickets.

Game
Regular Alum Sorin Society Monogram Club
Req Won Rate Req Won Rate Req Won Rate
Georgia Tech 1507 293 19% 642 567 88% 162 158 98%
@ Penn State 843 10 1% 292 18 6% -- -- --
@ Michigan 504 4 1% 228 18 8% -- -- --
Michigan State 1479 124 8% 669 385 58% 162 120 74%
@ Purdue 217 35 16% 82 26 32% -- -- --
@ UCLA 551 517 94% 202 202 100% -- -- --
Boston College 1532 77 5% 680 632 93% 162 134 83%
Southern Cal 1794 78 4% 783 470 60% 192 120 63%
Navy 624 404 65% 399 388 97% 82 80 98%
Air Force 492 456 93% 324 322 99% 68 68 100%
Duke 824 591 72% 585 573 98% 76 76 100%
@ Stanford 116 86 74% 70 69 99% -- -- --

Notes and such...

• Overall, it looks like the home dates were much tougher to win than last year. Last year's most requested home games were Penn State (8%), Michigan (12%), UCLA (23%), and North Carolina (16%). This year, it's Southern Cal (4%), Boston College (5%), Georgia Tech (19%), and Michigan State (8%). That's a pretty big drop any way you slice it. Either ticket requests are way up this year, the new season ticket pool cut into the general supply, the ticket office rejiggered its formulas, or some combination of all that.

• Who didn't get UCLA tickets? The 94% win rate would seem to confirm the report that ND was getting 25,000 tickets at the Rose Bowl.

• On the other hand, the win rate at Penn State and at Michigan are miniscule almost beyond belief. If ND really does get 5,000 tickets at those venues, whom are they going to? It's definitely not alumni (via the alumni lottery).

• The senior alumni game this year is Michigan State. According to the survey, 409 ticket requests were designated "senior alum", but only 211 won (52%).

• Sorin Society win percentages are way down this year as compared to last. Last year, Sorin was about 90% successful across all the home games; even the biggest home games last year, Penn State and Michigan, were 89% winners. This year, it's a vastly different story, with Southern Cal at only 60% and Michigan State at 58%.

• Along those lines, the Monogram win rate for Southern Cal (only 63%) has to be one of the lowest Monogram rates ever. The surest way to get tickets is still to letter in a sport at ND, but for the most popular games, even that's not a stone lock guarantee anymore.