Friday, June 26, 2009

An Idiot's Guide to Interacting With Recruits | by Kevin

This should be a tome shorter than the "Famous Jewish Sports Legends" leaflet. In a word: don't. Don't email recruits. Don't call recruits. Don't visit recruits at their homes.

All pretty obvious, right? Allow me to add a fourth: do not become Facebook "friends" with or otherwise communicate on Facebook or Myspace with recruits. In a recent interview with Irish Illustrated's Pete Sampson (exempted from this rule: it's his job to serve as a conduit between recruits, the ND staff, and fans), consensus #1 defensive end prospect and current Irish oral commit Chris Martin mentioned he received 243 messages yesterday from purported ND fans, reacting to reports Martin was considering visits to other schools. Apparently, the messages were a mix of the supportive and the angry.

Allowing that some, or even many, of these messages could have been written by fans of other programs, with the goal of undermining Martin's relationship with Notre Dame (and there is Facebook precedent for such conduct), none of this is appropriate.

First, NCAA regulations forbid written communications between alumni/financial supporters of a school and recruits. Notre Dame's Compliance Office provides simple guidelines, among them an instruction that one "MAY NOT" (in all-caps), "make any recruiting contacts with prospects or their relatives. This includes telephone calls, letters, emails, and facsimiles, along with any face-to-face contact either on or off-campus." Though "Internet social networking sites" are not among the non-exhaustive list, it's a safe bet such communications are within the intended spirit of the rule. I'd rather not find out the hard way.

Second, college recruits are, by definition, high school students. Adults should not initiate contact with high school students they do not already know. You should no sooner seek the friendship of Chris Martin or Anthony Barr than you should start emailing out of the blue a random junior at some high school in Dubuque. It's weird, to put it lightly.

Third, this brings up a broader point about recruiting. We as fans can do precious little to positively influence the recruiting process. Leaving to the side the issue of whether negative message board discussions of coaches and seasons are appropriate or detrimental, attempts to directly influence recruits will probably not achieve their desired effect. Like trying to mend fences with an ex who has obtained a restraining order, chances are the harder we try, the more likely we are to fail. And when bad news emerges -- and it will, every year for every team -- emoting, like urinating, is an act best done in private. Notre Dame is the subject of several popular message boards, but the ownership of an NDNation or Irish Illustrated "handle" does not mean one cannot instead use tried-and-true methods such as private emails, screaming in a car with the windows rolled up, or throwing a lamp into the wall when bad news hits.

Finally, for those of you worried about the future of the Chris Martin-Notre Dame relationship, relax. I think all will turn out fine in the end.

Lo Wood just wrote on my Wall and told me so.

Hendrix to ND; Sportswriters Rejoice | by Pat

Following in the footsteps of The Mighty Quinn, Santa Clausen, and Crist Almighty, Andrew Hendrix publicly committed to Notre Dame, and ensured even more punny headlines about ND's quarterbacks. (Is He Experienced?, etc.)

Back to ND for his second visit of the spring, Hendrix committed to ND and ended his recruitment.

"It was really tough," Hendrix said. "(But) Notre Dame is the right place for me in the end and it's everything I want in a school athletically, academically and religiously."
Hailing from the one-time ND pipeline Moeller High School in Ohio, Hendrix is the second GCL player to pick ND over Ohio State this year joining Elder tight end Alex Welch. In addition to the Buckeyes, Hendrix has offers from Nebraska, Miami, Michigan State, Tennessee, Boston College, and others.

The recruiting sites aren't in complete agreement over the 6'3" 220 pound Hendrix, but these rankings were made before ND and OSU stepped up with offers. It wouldn't suprise me to see Hendrix move up a bit, especially on Scout who has him as a 3-star recruit and the #27 QB in the class. Rivals is a bit more bullish, giving Hendrix a 4-star ranking and slotting him as the #200 overall recruit and #11 pro-style QB in the class. ESPN hasn't assigned a number ranking to Hendrix yet because he's one of their many Top 150 watch list players. But their writeup of him is pretty positive and echoes the underrated theme.
Hendrix could be the biggest sleeper in this class not only as a powerful pocket passer, but also as a deceptively good athlete. He possesses adequate-to-good height and a solid build. Arm strength is outstanding and he is one of the few players in this class with natural downfield power and terrific wrist snap and velocity on all throws.
Hendrix's highlights bolster the "deceptively good athlete" cliche as he's constantly scrambling for yards and throwing on the run. He sort of reminds me of Crist, in that he's mobile for a big guy and will put his shoulder down and get a few extra yards at the end of the run. Notice only two snaps in the whole 6+ minute highlight reel are taken from under center, so Hendrix will have some adjustment to a more traditional pro-style offense once he arrives in South Bend. Hendrix appears already set on not rushing things anyway.
Hendrix said he will likely redshirt the first year and be able to get ahead with classes. He is interested in the medical field.
Rivals put together an interesting additional highlight reel/analysis in that it's one of the few times I can remember them showing a QB throw incomplete passes while discussing some weaknesses. On nearly every other QB highlight reel you'll ever see, the QB tends to have a 99% completion percentage. To be honest, it makes for a better analysis in my opinion to show the bad with the good.

Like Sharpley, Hendrix might double-dip and play baseball if the stars line up right. Currently, Hendrix is a pitcher for Moeller's state championship baseball team.
Hendrix, who is also on the Moeller's baseball team, said he will also consider playing for the Notre Dame baseball team if the opportunity presents itself. He said he's already spoken with Weis regarding that possibility.
After not taking a QB last year, ND absolutely needed one in this class and may even see if there is a second interested QB recruit. In the meantime, the 2010 depth chart isn't terribly deep, but assuming Clausen returns for his senior year, there is plenty of talent. Let's just hope Hendrix works out as well as the last Ohio QB recruit.

Fifth Year
Senior Junior Sophomore Freshman

Jimmy Clausen
Dayne Crist *

Andrew Hendrix


Nate Montana *


Thursday, June 25, 2009

Summer Bummer | by Pat

A relatively quiet summer was interrupted with news that sophomore tight end Joseph Fauria won't be enrolled at ND for summer school or for the fall semester. The University put out a release that Fauria won't be around for personal reasons and that Charlie hopes he will return for the spring semester. Fauria was reached and confirmed that the plan so far is for him to return.

"I'm just taking it in stride," Fauria told the Tribune on Wednesday night. "The plan is to come back."
It's rough news for the Irish offense as Fauria was one of the most improved players in the spring and would be counted on as a steadily improving blocker and 6'7' passing target for Clausen. He had pushed even to Ragone for the #2 TE job and might even have passed him with a strong fall camp. But now Ragone is the solid #2 counterpart to rising star Kyle Rudolph. It might sound like ND will be just fine with the extremely talented Rudolph/Ragone duo at TE. But, as noted in Michael's spring opus, the ND offense works much better when there are multiple legitimate pass catching tight ends on the roster. And given Ragone's two major knee injuries, the more depth the better.

So now eyes will turn to transfer-turned-walk on Bobby Burger. Ideally, ND would be able to preserve a year of eligibility for incoming freshman tight ends Tyler Eifert and Jake Golic. If Burger can continue to build on his strong spring showing, then ND will have three competent tight ends and the freshmen can benefit from a year on the sideline. At 6'3" 242 pounds, Burger has the size to contribute and received some positive press from Charlie in the spring when he was still the #4 tight end.
“Very seldom do I call a walk-on out this early,” Weis said, “but I’m not going to be afraid to play this kid now.”

Burger started his college career at the University of Dayton, where he was a defensive lineman. He sat out last season to satisfy NCAA transfer rules, but he and then-freshman Jonas Gray were the consistent standouts for the ND scout team in practice against the Irish starters last season.
Meanwhile, Fauria hopefully will follow the path of Darrin Walls and Gary Gray, who both missed semesters for personal reasons, only to return back ready to play. The silver lining for Fauria is that he won't lose any eligibility since he played as a freshman in '08 and can use the 2009 as his de facto redshirt year. In the meantime, hopefully the recent ND TE hex will take a breather for awhile and ND can play the 2009 season without having to resort to plugging in reserve offensive linemen in tight end spots. Assuming everyone stays healthy, a depth chart of Rudolph, Ragone, and Burger, not to mention the two freshmen, is still better than what most teams have.

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Lining Up | by Pat

Earlier in the year, the Wall Street Journal put out a great article and chart showing the varying experience level of collegiate offensive lines. Echoing the idea behind Ivan Maisel's blurb from last fall, the article mentioned the strong correlation between cumulative offensive line starts and team success. Like many ND fans, I quickly scanned the list and was happy to not only see ND ahead of all opponents, but above every single BCS conference team save Virginia Tech. Here's the the breakdown of ND career OL starts versus the 2009 opponents for those who missed it.

1. Notre Dame - 100
2. Southern Cal - 91
3. Connecticut - 91
4. Washington State - 82
5. Boston College - 80
6. Michigan - 75
7. Washington - 67
8. Nevada - 62
9. Pittsburgh - 62
10. Purdue - 56
11. Stanford - 53
12. Michigan State - 47
13. Navy - 32
But while it's nice to look at a list like this, ND's OL isn't going to face any of these other offensive lines. Knowing that ND's DL is going to be very young this year, there are still a number of veteran OLs they will have to face and attempt to out-play.

On the flip side, I was curious. What kind of experience will ND's veteran OL be facing? Will it be up against a steady stream of battle-tested defensive lines that will somewhat negate ND's cumulative playing time?

The following is the breakdown of the cumulative starts from the opponent's defensive lines heading into the 2009 season. An important caveat that needs to be mentioned is that defensive lines rotate players far more than offensive lines. So a key player could be a strong contributor, but never be a "starter". Southern Cal's Everson Griffen comes to mind. However, minutes played aren't published by every program, so we'll have to stick with the slightly less exact metric of cumulative team starts. If you notice any mistakes, feel free to chime in with a comment.
1. Stanford - 67
2. Navy - 66
3. Pittsburgh - 62
4. Washington - 60
5. Boston College - 51
6. Michigan State - 48
7. Nevada - 40
8. Purdue - 25
9. Connecticut - 23
10. Michigan - 17
11. Southern Cal - 16
12. Washington State - 6
What do you think? Surprising to see Southern Cal so far down there, but they do have a number of experienced and talented backups thanks to years of excellent recruiting. Michigan's inexperience wasn't really a surprise considering their graduation losses, but they are still pretty low. Even worse for them, Brandon Graham holds 16 of their 17 cumulative starts. Other programs where a single player includes more than 50% of a team's total include Michigan State (Trevor Anderson - 31 of 48), Washington (Daniel Teo-Nesheim - 36 of 60), and Southern Cal (Christian Tupou - 10 of 17). Washington State might have a hard time improving on last season's nation's worst rush defense with only six returning starts. On the other hand, there did appear to be a number of new junior college players making up the depth chart.

Without knowing the results from the rest of the nation's DL, it's hard to try and draw too many other hard and fast conclusions from these numbers. On the whole though, I don't see many veteran filled defensive lines on the Irish docket for 2009. What led me to this conclusion was figuring out ND's DL number. I had assumed ND would be near the bottom of the list, but after adding up Kerry Neal's 15 starts, John Ryan's 15 starts (!), Ian Williams's 8 starts, and Ethan Johnson's 4 starts, the grand total of 42 was higher than I expected. That would land ND right in the middle of the above list. In reality, ND's line that sees the field most often will be slightly younger as Ryan appears to have been passed on the depth chart. But other teams could very well have similar issues.

The main takeaway seems to be that there really are no excuses for the Notre Dame offensive line, and by extension offense, in 2009. In addition to their own seniority, there is a lack of veteran laden DL opponents if you consider that ND has more collective starts than half the opponents. Sure, there will be a few rising star types that are tough to handle from the get-go, but overall things really are lining up for a return to 2005/2006 type offensive fireworks. Anything less would be pretty disappointing.

Monday, June 22, 2009

Depth-Chartin' | by Pat

Today is the day that the whole team returns to campus for the start of summer classes. All of the freshman are in with the rest of the team showing up during the day. And with this first glimpse of the light at the end of the off-season tunnel, Eric Hansen of the South Bend Tribune offers up two new articles to provide some excellent "we're getting closer to football season" depth chart conversation starters.

The first concerns the surprising return of Evan Sharpley for his 5th year. Drafted by Seattle in the 50th round of the recent Major League Draft, Evan worked out a deal with the Mariners to allow him to return to ND early enough to participate in all of fall camp and prepare for the 2009 season.. A successful under-the-radar application for a 5th year option last winter kept this option open.

The move gives ND's QB depth chart an instant shot in the arm. Danye Crist is still the expected backup to Clausen, but now the Irish also have a backup who has started a number of games, knows the playbook, and can provide additional team leadership.

Some might wonder why Sharpley is coming back to essentially be a third stringer. The answer is he is working towards a goal of becoming a teacher and coach in case his baseball career doesn't take off and will spend the fall fulfilling his student teacher requirements.

"I think it's not only going to be great from a player's standpoint, but as a future coach's standpoint as well. I'm going to take advantage of being able to look at what goes into the planning and behind-the-scenes stuff. I owe a lot to coach Weis."
Sounds like a win-win situation. Sharpley gets to prepare for his future and ND gets a one-year boost to the depth chart to supplement the talented but inexperienced Crist.

The next article by Hansen is a great off-season rundown on some critical Irish players for the 2009 season. But in addition to fluffy tidbits about Brian Smith, Armando Allen, and Duval Kamara staying near campus rather than return home after finals and Floyd, Tate, and Rudolph spending a week out with Jimmy Clausen in California, Hansen offers up some possible position switches we all might see tried out early in fall camp. First, while talking about sophomore guard Trevor Robinson, Hansen notes a few possibilities. The left tackle move was discussed prior to spring ball, but the second is an interesting twist to what was assumed a set in stone starting five.
Much speculation in the spring had him [Robinson] popping up at left tackle, but fifth-year senior Paul Duncan’s renaissance spring negated that notion. The two likely scenarios: 1) Robinson nudges past senior Chris Stewart at right guard OR 2) Stewart moves to left guard and incumbent starter Eric Olsen slides over to center, with returning starting center Dan Wenger becoming a backup.
I have to admit I'm a bit intrigued by the second option of moving Olsen to center. If the idea is to get the five best offensive linemen on the field, then I can easily see Robinson swapping in for Wenger. There is no doubt the run game would benefit from an interior of Chris Stewart, Eric Olsen, and Trevor Robinson.

However, can Eric Olsen play center? It's one thing to try and find the five best overall players and stick them on the field together. It's another to take a lifelong guard and hope he can successfully execute shotgun snap after shotgun snap. If ND were to do the roster shuffle Hansen highlights, that would leave only Sam Young playing the same position he played last season. All of the line's veteran experience isn't going to mean as much if all the players are learning the nuances of their new spot on the line. In the end, it will probably come down to the play of Trevor Robinson early in fall camp. If the coaches decide he's just too good to keep off the field, look for the likely possibility of OL musical chairs.

The other depth chart scenario involves the defense and specifically the nickel defense, which will likely be ND's most frequent defense given the pass and spread-offense happy nature of ND's 2009 opponents.
Look for [Brian] Smith and Te’o to be the nickel linebackers, safety Sergio Brown the extra defensive back and a surprisingly effective pass-rushing group up front, built for speed. ... Fleming and fellow sophomore SAM linebacker Steve Filer will drop down and play ends, with end Kapron Lewis-Moore and end/tackle Ethan Johnson moving inside.
No kidding that front seven will be built for speed. Ends as tackles. Linebackers as ends. The mantra is clearly rush the passer with a lineup like that. The somewhat surprising note is Filer slotted at one of the end spots. He's one of the better athletes on the team, so this lineup is certainly exciting from a pass-rushin', all-out Tenuta blitzin' standpoint. On the other hand, it's a small line that wouldn't hold up to the run much (granted, nickel defenses aren't designed to do that anyway) and there is a whole lot of inexperience when the lineup consists of one senior, one junior, four sophomores, and one freshman. Consider Fleming, Johnson, Filer, KLM, and Te'o have a combined career playing time of 251 minutes, which is exactly what Brian Smith logged by himself last season.

And what about Kerry Neal? He played more minutes last year than any returning defensive lineman. Will he be a part of the base defense only and leave the obvious passing downs to Steve Filer? Does this mean Filer isn't expected to start at another linebacker position and will specialize as a pass rusher, ala Mo Richardson? With Te'o rumored to be up to close to 240 pounds already, could he just start at middle linebacker from the get-go in both the base and nickel defense? There will obviously be some shuffling in fall camp as the coaches mix and match their way to a base and nickel defense. The battle for starting spots probably won't be fully decided until a few games into the season either. It sure is nice to have actual competition for jobs with more than one appealing outcome, isn't it? Is it September yet?

Monday, June 15, 2009

Anniversary Games | by Jay

There was an interview with Jack Swarbrick in the San Antonio Express-News this morning. In discussing the possibility of playing Army on the 100th anniversary of our famous game in 1913, Swarbrick also mentioned that 1913 was the first year that Notre Dame played Texas. Might he be trying to add the Longhorns to the 2013 schedule?

Q: There’s been quite a buzz generated in the media since word came out that you were considering playing a game against Army at Yankee Stadium. What did you make of the response?

JS: It’s been amazing. We’ve probably heard about that as much as anything. It’s all very positive and people were very excited.

There’s a long history there for college football. When the Yankees closed the old Yankee Stadium, in the commemorative book, a remarkable number of pages were dedicated to Notre Dame’s visits there over the years. We’re part of the history there.

I read a book recently, that I’m very fond of, called, “Notre Dame: The game that changed college football.” It focuses on the 1913 game with Army where the forward pass came into play. That’s the sort of history you really want to tap in to.

We’re about to go into a period of time where we’re encountering a whole bunch of 100th anniversaries. As a matter of fact, (2013) is the 100th anniversary of our (first) game against Texas.

Q: As we understand it, there are potentially some financial issues that could hinder you in making the Army game happen in Yankee Stadium. But can you talk about the prospects of a game between Notre Dame and Texas in 2013 — and we’re assuming that would be at one of the two campuses?

JS: I’m not really in a position to talk about the prospects of that game in any particular year. What I can say is that we would love to play Texas. We love playing the schools that have had a comparable history. But also that share our values.

I think Texas is one of the great athletic programs in the country. Not just now, but for many years. I’m a huge fan of the program, their coaches, and (athletic director) DeLoss (Dodds) is one of the giants of our industry. So, if we can figure out how to play Texas at some point, we would love to do it.
The rest of the interview is also worth a read, if only to get a sense of what the Washington State game in San Antonio is all about. It's pretty clear from Swarbrick that he thinks it has little to do with athletics, and everything to do with bringing Notre Dame's academic and service presence to the city. At one point, he even discards the "it'll help in recruiting Texas" angle.
Q: You’ll be coming into these areas to showcase the university. But you’ll also be coming into some prime recruiting areas. Can you talk about the benefits from that standpoint?

JS: It’s not much of a motivating factor. We’ve always been able to recruit nationally, moreso, frankly, than any program in the country. That’s the history of this program. I don’t know that we get any particular recruiting advantage by taking a game into a community.
Note that "regional recruiting advantage" was one of the supposedly key reasons cited by Kevin White when he sought out these neutral-site games. Swarbrick just deep-sixed that pretense.

The truth is, as Swarbrick says (and as we noted back in February), these games are about the social service projects, the educational seminars, the Notre Dame Masses in San Antonio -- in short, everything about Notre Dame but football. The two teams down there on the field blocking and tackling each other were, for White, simply a marketing tool, and the off-site venue was a way to wring an 8th NBC broadcast out of a 12-game schedule. Although Swarbrick indicates that he's continuing to explore the neutral-site games, he's at least paying attention to the quality of potential opponents and/or matchups of historical significance. Signing a contract with Texas would be a nice reminder that we're here to play football, not just sell T-shirts.

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Jackson Jumps Onboard | by Pat

Meet Bennett Jackson, Notre Dame's fifth public commit of the 2010 recruiting class. The New Jersey wide receiver announced his decision this past Sunday.

"I just really liked Notre Dame a lot," said Jackson, who visited Notre Dame May 23. "When I went out there, I felt really comfortable with the coaches and the players. There wasn't anything bad or negative I can think of. Notre Dame just had all positives."

Jackson announced his decision at halftime of Sunday's New Jersey vs. the Northeast All-Star Football Classic at Rutgers Stadium. Jackson had the option of making his decision on live television, but declined out of respect for Rutgers, which had recruited him.
The second wide receiver commit in the class, the 6'1" 165 pound Jackson seems destined for a role as a slot receiver, where being shifty outweighs pure speed or height. He's mentioned in recent media articles as a receiver/return man, so ideally he will contribute as a punt or kick returner as well.

The recruiting sites are somewhat lukewarm on Jackson. Rivals lists him as a 3-star recruit and the 57th overall ranked WR recruit. On the other hand, it sort of sounds like they might bump him up a bit as this recent video mentions that Bennett "blew up late in the process". (yes, June before your senior year is now officially late in the recruiting process...go figure). Scout is a bit more positive, tabbing Jackson as a 4-star recruit and the 25th overall WR recruit. ESPN gave Jackson a 77 rating and slightly positive review.
Overall, Jackson shows flashes of becoming a polished player with good consistency from play to play. Explosive speed is an area where he may find it more difficult at the next level to have an advantage, but he does many things well and he is comfortable in many roles.
Comfortable in many roles seems to summarize his versatile play in high school.
As a junior, Jackson was a jack of all trades in helping Raritan earn a share of the Shore Conference National Division championship last fall. At receiver, he hauled in 34 receptions for 485 yards and four touchdowns. He also spent time under center, throwing for a pair of touchdowns, rushed for 200 yards, scored three times on special teams and booted four field goals. ...

“”He’s a kid that does it all,” Melvin said. “”You can line him up at receiver, on the outside or in the slot, and even though he didn’t play a lot of defensive back last year I think he’s going to play DB next season. He’s shifty, he’s quick. He’s running track with his team for the first time this year. And oh by the way, he also punted for his team and he’s not bad there, either.”
There is a lengthy 10 minute highlight reel on youtube for those wanting to make their own analysis of his play. As for his track results, he recently placed 6th in the state in the 110m hurdles with a time of 14.4 seconds.

Other than ND, Jackson had offers from Michigan State, North Carolina, Pitt, BC, Rutgers, Iowa, and a number of other programs.

With Jackson in the fold, here is what the WR depth chart will look like in 2010, his freshman year. We'll try to start including position specific depth charts with each commit post so everyone has a good idea of just where ND is thin or deep for the coming seasons.

5th Year
Senior Junior Sophomore Freshman
Barry Gallup
Golden Tate
Michael Floyd
Shaq Evans
Daniel Smith

Duval Kamara
John Goodman*
Roby Toma
Bennett Jackson


Deion Walker*



Caveats: Seniors and juniors with asterisks next to their name have an additional year of eligibility....For all of these depth charts, all 5th year players listed are those with the potential to come back, even though it's not expected that every player with eligibility will be back...These depth charts can change at a moment's notice due to injury, position switches, or ResLife.

Sunday, June 07, 2009

Scheduling and Such | by Jay

I've just spent a few minutes jotting a list of the scheduling news & rumors we've heard in the past few months. Here's the executive briefing.

1. On the possible Miami series, the latest update was in April. Although Heisler poured cold water on the idea, Miami AD Kirby Hocutt is keeping hope alive.

One of the things Hocutt said he has become more involved in since taking over has been the future scheduling of opponents. He wants to get UM involved in big-time games including playing Notre Dame again and getting Florida on the schedule...

Speaking of down the road and opportunities, Hocutt seemed more confident there could be a future meeting with Miami and Notre Dame than with the Canes and Gators, who are currently scheduled to meet for the last time in football at Dolphins Stadium in 2013.

"If there is any way whatsoever to get [a series with Notre Dame] done, we'll get it done," Hocutt said. "I don't want to lead people on or sound too optimistic, but there has been an initial phone call and another conversation through a mutual relationship [TV]. There's definitely interest on both sides. If it's something we can get done in the future it sounds like we're both committed to it."
2. They may play football at Yankee Stadium again, and Swarbrick wants them to put the Irish on the docket. This is a great idea, and probably deserving of its own blog post (or three) just to explore the history of Notre Dame, Army, and football at Yankee Stadium.

3. An Army series was confirmed ('twas already rumored), to start in 2010. This could be a candidate for a Yankee Stadium game. Seems like a game in 2013 would make sense given the 100-year anniversary of the 1913 ND-Army game.

4. In late May, rumors of a possible Wisconsin series surfaced. Wisco AD Barry Alvarez hinted at Notre Dame scaling back its Purdue commitment with the Badgers to potentially fill the gap.
According to Alvarez, Notre Dame officials are revamping their annual series with Big Ten Conference member and longtime rival Purdue. Instead of facing the Boilermakers every season, Notre Dame would like to face Purdue every other season.

When Alvarez spoke during a clinic at Notre Dame earlier this spring he informed Notre Dame athletic director Jack Swarbrick that UW would be interested in filling the vacancies.

“We haven’t confirmed yet,” Alvarez said, noting officials from Purdue and Notre Dame are still working on their respective future schedules. “But yes, there is work being done on it.”
5. Purdue, contradicting Alvarez's comments, said they have no intention of putting the ND series on hiatus.
Purdue athletic director Morgan Burke said he's in discussions with Notre Dame athletic director Jack Swarbrick about extending the series past 2015.

The Boilermakers and the Fighting Irish have played every season since 1946.

"Jack and I are talking about how to take that further," Burke said. "There's been a lot of speculation about four (years) on and two off. All I'm going to tell you is it's speculation.

"I marvel at the reports that are out there. We would like to find a way to continue it."
6. And in fact, Swarbrick just yesterday confirmed that we're trying to keep the Purdue series up and running without interruption.
For those thinking the Purdue-Notre Dame game might end up taking a hiatus or changing its format, think again.

Swarbrick said Friday he’d like to continue playing the Boilermakers, the Irish’s only in-state football rival, on a yearly basis. Neither Swarbrick nor Purdue athletic director Morgan Burke said a deal to continue the series has been formalized.

“The Purdue series is really important to us,” Swarbrick said. “The number of things I’ve been doing in scheduling, I’m trying to make sure we’re very mindful of our history and tradition here. When others in the Big Ten wouldn’t play us, Purdue would back early in our history.

“I think it’s important to acknowledge and not lose sight of that important assist that they gave us at a critical time. We don’t have all the future dates nailed down, but I think the chances are very high that we will continue to play Purdue.”
2010 Notre Dame Schedule
S04 PURDUE
S11 MICHIGAN
S18 @ Michigan St.
S25 STANFORD
O02 @ Boston College
O09 PITTSBURGH
O16 Army (neutral site)
O23 @ Navy (Baltimore)
O30 ---
N06 ---
N13 UTAH
N20 ---
N27 @ Southern Cal

(2 games to schedule)
Perusing Mike's Future Schedules list, we still have two open games to set up for 2010. I highly doubt a Miami or Wisconsin will fill those slots, so look for more team names to surface here in the near future. Notes:
  • There are only 3 open dates. They are all late-season.
  • We have four road games scheduled (@ MSU, BC, Navy, USC). It's doubtful we would add another.
My guess: look for two one-off home games (similar to the Army and Duke filler games of '06-07) to be inked for 2010.

Finally, here's a comment to consider, from Purdue's AD Burke, in the article above.
Former Notre Dame athletic director Kevin White altered [Notre Dame's] scheduling policy before leaving for Duke in 2008. White's plan was for Notre Dame to play seven home games, one off-site game that is considered a home game and four away games each season.

White's preference was to protect rivalries with Southern California, Navy and Michigan.

"Before Kevin White went to Duke, he had a strategy he was employing," Burke said. "That may not be the same strategy that Jack Swarbrick is working with."
Burke hints at something that I've noticed, too. Apart from confirming the Army series, there haven't been any official scheduling changes emanating from Swarbrick's office since he took the job. There is no doubt, however, that the rhetoric has changed. We've gone from flatly refusing to entertain ideas from other schools, like Alabama, to actively engaging them. There seems to be a new openness, and a willingness to explore new possibilties. (To get a fuller sense of the shift, hit that link; you'll see what the White mentality looked like in the summer of 2007. "There just isn't much wiggle room," he lamely claimed). Swarbrick is at least talking as if he isn't handcuffed in the same infuriating way that White always did. Let's hope the action will match the rhetoric.

Saturday, June 06, 2009

In Miniature | by Jay

Just toying around with a website that allows you to simulate miniature photography.



Got a ND photo that might look cool in mini? Link it in the comments and we'll give it a whirl.

Tuesday, May 26, 2009

Back on Track | by Pat

It was a drought that lasted nearly four months, but Notre Dame finally received another public commitment. Cincinnati tight end Alex Welch called up Charlie on Sunday and put an end to 109 straight commit-free days. Welch didn't waste much time, becoming the 4th public commit of the 2010 recruiting class only 10 days after getting his official offer.

"I called coach (Charlie) Weis and told him," Welch said. "He was excited. He said I made his Memorial Day weekend."
The 6'5" 225 pound Welch picked up his offer two weeks ago and despite a last minute offer by the home state Buckeyes, went through with his decision to commit after a weekend unofficial visit to South Bend.

In addition to the Ohio State offer, Welch had a pretty impressive offer list including Oklahoma, Florida State, Michigan, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Boston College, and many others. Rivals lists Welch as a 4-star recruit and the #10 tight end in the 2010 recruiting class. Scout gives Welch a 3-star ranking, but tabs him as the #7 tight end in the class. ESPN assigns Welch a ranking of 79, which is the same ranking they gave to previous tight ends Tyler Eifert and Joseph Fauria. If you want a refresher on what ESPN thinks a "79" constitutes, here you go.

Welch is another recruit with solid football bloodlines, and legacy ones at that, as his uncle is former ND star linebacker Steve Heimkreiter. Welch also hails from the same high school as current sophomore tight end Kyle Rudolph.
"Him being there is a plus," Welch said. "I can learn from him. But I made the decision on my own. I just thought personally Notre Dame is the best place for me. It's a place I can succeed."
Here are some youtube highlights of Welch. It's worth noting that there are plenty of highlights of him blocking in addition to catching passes, something that isn't always the case in tight end highlight films.

ND is probably done recruiting tight ends in this class as there are other needs and the tight end depth chart is finally getting back to being filled up top to bottom. Then again, if a top tight end recruit is interested and Kyle Rudolph keeps playing like he'll be a top NFL Draft pick after his junior year, ND might consider another one in this class. In all likelihood though it will just be Welch in this class. Here's what the depth chart will look like in 2010 when he shows up on campus.
Senior - Mike Ragone
Junior - Kyle Rudolph, Joseph Fauria
Sophomore - Tyler Eifert, Jake Golic
Freshman - Alex Welch
With a lineup like that, ND isn't going to stop throwing to the tight end anytime soon. Even better, ND won't be forced to sub in backup offensive linemen as pseudo-tight ends in multiple tight end formations.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Congrads | by Jay

Here's something that Pat noticed that I'd like to pass along. From what we can gather, Chris Stewart, George West, and James Aldridge all graduated this weekend.

They were the first three recruits to enroll early under the new policy at Notre Dame, and all three earned their degree before their senior year. We think that is pretty cool. Stewart even has two years of eligibility left, so he can get his Master's degree before he leaves.

As far as I know, no media outlet has reported this, so we really can't verify it* -- other than the fact I saw Chris Stewart on CNN in cap and gown, and some folks on Irish Illustrated mentioned that West and Aldridge had graduated too. Apparently James didn't walk because he's studying in England now.

Here's our original article on them when they enrolled early, in January of '06.

News like this certainly can't hurt recruiting.

* Update: Thanks to reader Patrick for the link to the University Registrar which lists the three as receiving degrees (pages 1, 105, and 115). Gradulations to Chris, James, and George, and all the graduates of Notre Dame this year.

Thursday, May 14, 2009

the Secret Coach's Other Poll | by Jay

(Please note the addendum to this post by Jeff, below. --ed)

Among other proposed changes, including tinkering with the number of teams and potentially dropping the preseason poll, the USA Today/Coaches Poll is considering going back to a secret ballot.

"Historically, we have never released the votes," AFCA executive director Grant Teaff said. "When it came up that, OK, it would be better if you did, I think there was acquiescing by the coaches. As to whether it's helped the poll or not, I don't think I can really say. Whether it's hurt it or not, I don't know. The only thing that we can base a decision on, as AFCA, is what the experts say about it.

"We've obviously proven our loyalty to both the BCS and USA Today by releasing those," Teaff said. "But the question is whether that's the correct thing to do or not. Does that give us the way to have the best possible poll we can have?

"There's also a question of, should all voters be anonymous or not?" Teaff said.
Here's the line that really caught me.
The coaches' poll, which began in 1950, has often been the center of controversy. Critics have noted that voters have a financial stake in the outcome because their conferences benefit from drawing lucrative BCS berths. There are also questions of favoritism toward friends and bias against rivals.

"The perception is that there's a huge bias, and we've never really found that," Teaff said.
Consider it "found", Coach Teaff. Readers of BGS will recall that Jeff has broken down the Coaches' final tally the last couple of years and has found clear evidence of bias in the polls, towards the individual coach's conference, his opponents, and especially his own team.

You can find the BGS examinations of the bias in the Coaches Poll here: 2005, 2006, 2007. As Jeff noted in his first conclusion:
It comes as no surprise that the Coaches Poll is fraught with bias. However, since this is the first year we actually get to see the results, it's still somewhat shocking to see such blatant gamesmanship laid bare. The supposed advantage of the BCS polls, and the Coaches poll in particular, is that you have a body of "football experts" who are ranking the teams; their vast experience and acumen is supposed to lend the poll unquestioned authenticity.

Unfortunately, with so much money at stake, with careers hanging in the balance, and with so much rampant conflict of interest, the Coaches Poll is anything but authentic and honestly considered. Perhaps by revealing the votes this year, egregious voters will check themselves a bit next year, but considering what's at stake (and the absence of censure), I tend to doubt it. As long as it's included in the calculus, the Coaches Poll will remain the most problematic component of the BCS.
That's pretty much what happened. By the 2007 study, we noted that transparency wasn't thinning the biases at all; in fact, several of the bias metrics actually worsened.

I don't know what to think about the coaches going back to radio silence, other than they are simply afraid of transparency. The coaches' idea of "the best possible poll", as Teaff put it, apparently includes the right to vote for themselves and their friends with impunity, and without the annoyance of that pesky public scrutiny. Long live bias!



Addendum (by Jeff)

For the 2008 season, I never got around to publishing my bias analysis, but the story was exactly the same as the prior three years. Instead, what I intended to post was an analysis of the "accuracy" of the coaches poll. The bias in the poll is obvious to anyone who looks at the numbers (excluding Grant Teaff, of course). But, what surprised me is how inaccurate the poll actually is, particularly in the most important game of the season. Excerpts from the post I never finished are below.

...This year, I thought it would be interesting to see how accurate the coaches are, and I think I have a fairly reasonable way to evaluate this. Each coach has provided us a list of his top 25 teams (and by default, teams that he feels are 26th or worse). The current array of bowl games provides us with a host of neutral-site matchups, most of which were arranged somewhat indifferently through contracts and tie-ins with the conferences. So, with a little number crunching, it is pretty easy to evaluate how well the coaches did in their annual Pick-'em contest over the last four years: a better ranked team should beat a lesser one, and a ranked team should beat an unranked one. I omitted games between unranked teams.

Results. As it turns out, the coaches aren't all that good at picking games. There were 3,773 "predictions" which could be drawn over the last four years' bowl games. Of those, coaches accurately ranked the winner higher than the loser 1,955 times (less than 52% of the time). Bear in mind, the coaches are simply picking the winner, not picking against the spread.

Bowl Games
2005200620072008
Correct Picks
544699427285
"Upsets"
363309532614

BC(mes)S. I then considered the myriad of bowl games and the variety of teams out there and decided it may be more fair to look only at the BCS games. After all, those are the most important games involving the most well know teams. However, as it turned out, the coaches are actually worse in BCS games, with correct rankings less than half of the time (566-583, or 49.3%). You would be better off flipping a coin to figure out who is going to win a BCS game than looking at how coaches ranked the teams.

BCS Only
2005200620072008
Correct Pick134146
141145
"Upsets"114
154
159
156

#1 vs #2. In all fairness to the coaches (or whoever does their voting), they aren't really that bad in all of the BCS games. Their average for non-championship games is actually a more respectable 57%, but their overall average is brought down by their horrible ability to pick the most important game in the country. Over the last four seasons, there were 46 instances where a coach accurately predicted the number one team in the county prior to the NC game, and 197 instances where they failed. That is less than 20% for those of you keeping track at home.

#1 versus #2
2005200620072008
Correct Pick70
1227
"Upsets"55
60
48
34

Looking at the individual seasons:
  • In the 2005 season, 7 coaches placed Texas/Southern Cal correctly at #1/#2, while 55 reversed the order. Texas won a close battle in the Rose bowl 41-38.
  • In 2006, all 61 coaches picked Ohio State number one, while 48 coaches picked Florida #2 and 18 picked them as #3. The result? a 41-14 drubbing of the unanimous #1 in the Fiesta Bowl.
  • In 2007, 12 coaches correctly ranked LSU over Ohio State (and 48 did not), although only 3 of those 12 believed that Ohio State should have been ranked #2, the other coaches had them ranked between 3rd and 6th).
  • In 2008, 27 coaches correctly picked Florda to win the NC, vs 33 that picked Oklahoma. Nine coaches felt that Florida didn't even belong in the game and ranked them 3rd. Not surprisingly six of those nine coaches were from Big XII schools, and all six picked Oklahoma vs another Big XII school instead of Florida (five coaches picked Texas, and Mike Leach put his own Texas Tech team #2, well above the consensus #8 ranking).
I don't have a good source of data for prior seasons; the coaches votes were not made public until 2005 and I haven't looked around too hard for past coaches polls. I do know that in 2004, USC was number one in the coaches poll prior to winning the NC, so these is at least one feather in the cap of the coaches. But I am also fairly certain that Miami and LSU were near-unanimous #1s in 2002 and 2003 respectively, and both lost to lower ranked teams.

In any event, the coaches poll is both biased and inaccurate, and should be scrapped altogther. Although nothing is 100% accurate, other options are better and should be considered. Computer polls are much better than 50%, as is the algorithm used by the oddsmakers in Vegas. Even some "softer" approaches, like the NCAA basketball selection committee, are much more accurate. However, instead of fixing the problem, the NCAA is instead opting to sweep it under the rug, sending a fine message to students everywhere: do whatever you want as long as it is in your self interest; if your mistake becomes public, lie about it and cover up the evidence.

Thursday, May 07, 2009

The Lives of Others | by Pat

Recent upgrades to the BGS Lab have allowed us to keep better tabs on ND's upcoming opponents. Here's the quick takeaway on the major spring storylines from each '09 foe. Feel free to add your own observations and see if you can identify the recurring theme.

Nevada

Major Storylines - Even with starting QB and team leader Colin Kapernick sitting out the spring to heal an injured ankle, the Wolfpack offense, led by a veteran running back corp, still prepped for what is expected to be a stellar 2009 campaign. Much is expected of the improving defensive line who helped Nevada to a #6 rush defense ranking last season and returns 1st Team All-WAC DE Kevin Basped. The next step will be to generate a better pass rush to help out a secondary that was last in the nation last season in pass defense.

Quick Notes - Spring Game Recap, Latest Depth Chart, Spring Game Attendance: 1,000

Michigan

Major Storylines - The main attraction for Wolverine fans was the quarterback battle between returning part-time starter Nick Sheridan and early enrollee Tate Forcier. Sheridan broke his leg early in spring ball, leading to the skinny Forcier (right) assuming the de facto starter role. A strong spring game helped build fan confidence in the likely fall starter. The OL returned some veteran players, but will need solid production out of some promising redshirt freshmen in order to avoid a repeat of last year's dismal performance. On the defensive side of things, new defensive coordinator and former Syracuse head coach Greg Robinson worked with a defense light on experience as he implemented a hybrid 3-4 defensive system.

Quick Notes -
Spring Game Recap, Latest Depth Chart, Spring Game Attendance - 50,000

Michigan State

Major Storylines - The main attraction for Spartan fans was the quarterback battle between last season's backup Kirk Cousins and Oklahoma transfer Keith Nichol. Each split snaps and had strong spring game showings in a QB battle that will stretch into fall camp. Replacing star back Javon Ringer was also a point of emphasis but so far none of the running back by committee members distinguished themselves. Look for another fall camp battle. The installation of a few option offense plays to the playbook is another new feature of the rebuilt running game. Led by All-American candidate Greg Jones, the MSU defense will have to break in a number of new starters but overall should be a fast and athletic defense.

Quick Notes - Spring Game Recap, Latest Depth Chart, Spring Game Attendance: 26,000

Purdue

Major Storylines - The main attraction for Boilermaker fans was the quarterback battle between Justin Siller and Joey Elliot to replace the graduated Curtis Painter. The race was cut short though when Siller was kicked out of Purdue. Elliot held onto the #1 spot over redshirt freshmen Caleb TerBush as new head coach Danny Hope works to avoid any letdown in the post-Tiller era. In addition to a new QB, Purdue will need to find a way to replace the production of Kory Sheets, the Boilermakers all-time leader in rushing touchdowns.

Quick Notes - Spring Game Recap, Latest Depth Chart, Spring Game Attendance: 5,000

Washington

Major Storylines - Jake Locker returned from the thumb injury that forced him to miss most of last season and quickly adapted to new head coach Steve Sarkisian's pro-style offense. Getting the other 21 starters to shake off last season's 0-12 campaign will be the big challenge. Running back Chris Polk, coming off an injury related redshirt freshman season, was a source of praise from Sarkisian and is in line to be the primary ballcarrier for the Huskies. The defense, ranked 112th in the nation last season, should be improved, but there is a long way to go.

Quick Notes -
Spring Game Recap, Latest Depth Chart, Spring Game Attendance:10,000

Southern Cal

Major Storylines - The main attraction for Trojan fans was the quarterback battle between Aaron Corp, Mitch Mustain, and early enrollee Matt Barkley. In the end, Corp (right) nailed down the starting spot by playing safe and largely mistake free football while Barkley jumped ahead of Mustain. The defense had to break in a number of new starters, particularly at linebacker, but athletically won't have much of a dropoff thanks to years of top tier recruiting. The Trojans just might be faster than last year's version, but will have to find a way to replace all of the lost experience and leadership.

Quick Notes - Spring Game Recap, Latest Depth Chart, Spring Game Attendance: 22,565

Boston College

Major Storylines - The main attraction for Eagle fans was the quarterback battle between Dominque Davis, Justin Tuggle, and Codi Boek. Davis had the slight upper hand coming into the spring after starting three games last season and neither backup did enough to unseat him. Under new head coach Frank Spazini, the offense began work to move to a more power running game to compliment their lack of experience at quarterback. The defense, led by All-American candidate Mark Herzlich, will need to find a way to fill the shoes of NFL draftees B.J. Raji and Ron Brace at defensive tackle.

Quick Notes - Spring Game Recap, Spring Game Attendance: 5,000

Washington State

Major Storylines - The main attraction for Cougar fans was supposed to be the quarterback battle between Marshall Lobbestael, Kevin Lopina, and J.T. Levenseller. But Lobbestael is still recovering from the knee injury that knocked him out last season and Levenseller broke his leg at the start of April. That left Lopina to take the first team snaps as the Cougars began work on installing a no-huddle offense. Lobbestael should push for the starting job once he returns in the fall. Injuries, a major theme last year, hit again as multiple likely starters missed time this spring. Finally, the team worked to find five new starters for a defense that let up more points last season than any team in D-1 (FBS) history.

Quick Notes -
Spring Game Recap, Latest Depth Chart, Spring Game Attendance:400

Navy

Major Storylines - One of rare 2009 ND opponents who were sure of their starting QB (junior Ricky Dobbs), Navy worried more about how to replace Eric Kettani at the all-important fullback position. Sophomore Alex Teich is one of the younger, and lighter, fullbacks to earn the starting spot in recent memory after holding off the challengers. On defense, the story is experience as the entire front seven is comprised of seniors.

Quick Notes -
Spring Game Recap, Latest Depth Chart, Spring Game Attendance:700

Pittsburgh

Major Storylines -
The main attraction for Panther fans was the quarterback battle between Bill Stull and Pat Bostick. Stull ended the 2008 season as the team starter and didn't play bad enough to lose his job in the spring, but Bostick was named the team's most improved offensive player. With a strong start to fall camp, he might beat out Stull. Replacing All-Big East LeSean McCoy will be a tough task for the returning running backs, but sophomore wideout Jonathan Baldwin is quickly establishing himself as the go-to threat in the Panther offense. One trouble area that will continue to hamper Pitt is the slow development of a shaky offensive line.

Quick Notes -
Spring Game Recap, Latest Depth Chart, Spring Game Attendance:6,160

Connecticut


Major Storylines -
The main attraction for Husky fans was the quarterback battle between ND transfer Zach Frazer and Cody Endres. Frazer emerged at the top following spring practice. A similar position battle of interest was at running back where UConn looks to replace Donald Brown, the nation's leading rusher in 2008 and a 1st round NFL draft pick. All told, UConn lost four players in the first two rounds of the NFL Draft meaning the Huskies will have a replace a fair amount of talent in the 2009 season.

Quick Notes -
Spring Game Recap, Latest Depth Chart, Spring Game Attendance: 7,000

Stanford

Major Storylines - The main attraction for Cardinal fans was the quarterback battle between returning starter Tavita Pritchard and redshirt freshman Andrew Luck. As it stands now, Luck appears to have the edge for the starting gig heading into the fall. Either desperate to generate some team depth or a ploy to attract more recruits, Coach Harbaugh practiced certain players on both offense and defense during the spring and claimed as many as 10 would continue the two-way practice in the fall.

Quick Notes -
Spring Game Recap, Latest Depth Chart, Spring Game Attendance:1,500

Thursday, April 30, 2009

Sweet Ginger Brown | by Jay

In a surprise to absolutely no one, Tim Brown was elected to the College Football Hall of Fame this morning.

One of the first long-form pieces we ever did on this blog was a tribute to number 81. You can re-read it here.

Five Points Bulletin | by Jay

Kevin sent out a little roundtable roundup to the BGS crew, asking for five takeaways from the spring for Irish pigskin. Here's what we noticed.

Kevin. 1. ND still does not have an answer at the third wide receiver spot. On the bright side, Robby Parris, Duval Kamara, Deion Walker, and John Goodman -- as well as Shaquelle Evans -- still have the opportunity to earn significant playing time. On the other hand, none of them have yet seized the job.

2. Someone will be confused, and I hope it's not us. The pass rush in the Blue and Gold game appeared to confound and at times overwhelm the offense. I hope the we find that our defense is easily confusing, and not that our offense is easily confused.

3. While I don't think we'll see anything on the level of moving a running back to the other side of the line, the situation at linebacker remains in flux. Will Brian Smith move to one of the outside spots and gain the opportunity to make himself even more of a disruptive presence, or will he be forced to stay inside?

4. Where will Ethan Johnson play: DE or DT? Does it matter? If Ethan plays a three-technique tackle position, will he still be able to help create a pass rush, or is his size and speed best left on the outside? Will the quality of Notre Dame's interior line personnel even permit such a move?

5. The Blue and Gold Game emergence of Joe Fauria was encouraging. He is an able blocker, he seemed to have decent speed, and he caught the ball pretty well. If Fauria and/or Ragone can complement Kyle Rudolph, the possibilities for the Weis offense are exciting.



Michael. A. Our secondary is good. Our safeties didn't miss any tackles (see Zibby, Bruton vs. Hawaii) and they delivered big hits to receivers across the middle. Robert Blanton was as good as advertised, Jamaris Slaughter showed some skills, and Leonard Gordon definitely surprised. Did anyone even try to throw on Darrin Walls? He played, but I don't even remember seeing him much. Probably a great sign.

B. We have some talent at TE. Fauria showed he can block and catch the ball. Ragone may not be all the way back but he got open down the seam and was used as the primary receiver on a play action bootleg. That was exciting to see. And then there's Kyle Rudolph, who just does it all. Walk-on Bobby Burger, whom Weis said will definitely be in the mix come fall, didn't play.

C. Randy Hart is going to put together a good DL. His track record, his style, and the young talent he has to work with make me confident of this. I expected to hear Ethan Johnson's name a few times, but it was surprising to hear Brandon Newman's name called as many times as it was. Competition, competition, competition. It sure beats the Landri-Laws-Beidatsch days where depth was pitiful.

D. I like Verducci's style. I want to believe what everyone (Charlie, Verducci, Sam Young, et al.) said about improvement, but I need to see it in September. I've been critical of Paul Duncan, and it appears he's heading for a Turkovich-like transformation. It was also disappointing that Dever, Romine, and Robinson were hurt or sick and missed time. Especially the OTs who we'll need in '10.

E. Lots of movement in the LB depth chart-- what does it all mean, and how will Manti's arrival affect the two-deep? This is what has me most intrigued, even moreso than the young DL.



Pat. 1. Given the concerns about left tackle, it was reassuring to hear all the praise for Paul Duncan from coaches and media types all spring long. On the other hand, with likely second teamers Trevor Robinson, Taylor Dever, and, for a time, Matt Romine missing spring practice, there are still plenty of questions about OL depth.

2. Speaking of questions, there were plenty of other interesting issues we didn't get a sneak peak at during the Blue-Gold game. How James Aldridge looks at fullback will have to wait until the fall. Is the Goodman at QB just an emergency contingency or might we actually get to see his arm this fall, possibily attempting the trick plays Samardzija was never able to complete in a game? Seeing Darius Fleming at his new position of SAM 'backer will have to wait, as will seeing Kapron Lewis-Moore in action. Heck, it's possible that Fleming, KLM, Ethan Johnson, and Kerry Neal will be the front four for a majority of the downs next season and Ethan is the only one who played in the Blue-Gold game. That leads me to the next observation.

3. There is plenty of hope about the young and talented D-line, but how they will perform against opposing teams is still a question mark. Honoray coach Justin Tuck's comments (""I feel as though they're very versatile. Especially Ethan [Johnson]. That defensive line has the opportunity to make a lot of strides.") are certainly encouraging while fellow honorary coach Bertrand Berry's ("The one place where I saw glaring need was in the endurance level, on the defensive front in particular.") highlight that there is still development needed for a line that might not have a senior in the two-deep in the fall.

4. It was fun to watch the practice clips of new coaches Alford, Hart, and Verducci. The trio were certainly not short on emotion and intensity on the practice field. Let's hope it carries over to their players this fall.

5. Except for the fact that Brian Smith won't leave the field much, I still have no idea how the linebacker rotation will play out . What happens when Darius Fleming is back from injury? Can Toryan hold down the middle 'backer spot? Where will Manti fit in? What does the future hold for Filer?



Mike. (1) Offensive position battles - Heading into spring, I thought the key position battle on offense would be left tackle - would Matt Romine or Trevor Robinson challenge Duncan for the position? (While Robinson seems like a guard ill-suited for tackle, I thought the same about Turkovich heading into last year and Turkovich did well at LT.) However, Duncan seemed to lock up the position so quickly that even a healthy Robinson probably wouldn't have changed things. Instead, the real position battles on offense were at FB (prior to Aldridge's injury), 2nd TE, 3rd WR and the backup OL positions.

(2) Depth issues - I was disappointed by how much effect the spring absences appeared to have. The loss of Golden Tate (baseball) and Michael Floyd (injury) reportedly slowed the offense quite a bit. Given the talent of Tate and Floyd, oI would expect their loss to be noticeable, but I would have hoped that Duval Kamara, John Goodman and Deion Walker would have softened the blow a little more. Kerry Neal's injury left the defensive line without its most experienced member - and Neal was in high school when Brady Quinn was still at ND. Darius Fleming appears to be projected as the starter at Sam, but what does that say when he hasn't played the position before and missed the entire spring? There's a number of positions where an injury could be quite costly.

(3) Winning first down - Pat toyed with ways to measure defensive success on first down last year and I really think that is the key to the entire defense this year. The talent and depth in the secondary, the increased speed in the front seven and Tenuta's attacking style will give offenses fits in obvious passing downs. But we have to get there first and I'm concerned about the defense's ability to hold up between the tackles against power running teams.

(4) Bert Berry's comments - Berry obviously cares about the program, so I can't imagine him making those comments regarding conditioning lightly. I placed much of the blame for the blown leads against Pitt and Syracuse on the offense, but I have to wonder now how significant a factor conditioning was in those come-from-ahead losses.

(5) Recruiting - I'm not one to immediately panic because no one committed at the spring game. Still, it would have been nice to pick up a commitment or two from one of the visitors to spring practice. I can understand the recruiting effort flagging a bit during spring ball, but if that really happened then the coaching staff needs to eke out every recruiting opportunity presented by the May evaluation period.



Jay
. Three quotes, one play, and one picture.

I. Hart's comments on the defensive line depth, and especially Ian Williams.
Q: For the guys who played here last year, what's the biggest adjustment in moving from the 3-4 to the 4-3?

Coach Hart: You know, I'm not sure. You'll have to talk to them. Most everybody has some form of the various defenses in their defensive package, no matter what you call it. As long as you can maintain techniques, you can line 'em up any way you want 'em. So I think the fact that we are trying to use very similar techniques and then line them up in an odd front, even front, whatever it is -- it's all basically football. As we say, it's "strike a blow, get off the block, pursue the football, and tackle."
II. Sam Young's comments on Verducci (and implications vis-a-vis Latina). What does that tell us?
"The improvement I'm seeing in myself and other guys on the line from Day One to now, it's phenomenal, it's unbelievable," Young said. "If we can keep up a trend like that, between working in the summer and camp in the fall, we've got a damn good shot of accomplishing what we want to do."
III. Lou's interview on Saturday of the BG game. It was a long, wide-ranging bull session, and included what I think are some veiled criticisms of Charlieball. (Rothstein has the whole transcript in parts, here, here and here.)

IV. The only takeaway from the actual Spring game itself for me was the appearance of what I believe is a new route in the arsenal. On one play, Hughes motioned out of the backfield, but then ran a 5-yard crossing pattern, and Clausen (or maybe it was Crist) hit him as the #1 option. This is the only major new wrinkle, scheme-wise, that I saw. Usually a back out of the backfield who catches a ball in this offense is sitting down underneath, waiting for an outlet. This time, he ran an actual pattern. Maybe it's nothing new -- maybe it's been buried in the playbook for years -- but it definitely caught my eye.

V. Charlie coaching the second half of the game from a barcalounger. Is there a third way between the sideline and the pressbox?



Pete. 1. As it's been the last two years, the ultimate success of the team rests on the successes or failures of the defensive and offensive lines. One is talented but green, the other is finally mature but doesn't have the greatest of resumes. On the one hand, it's a little unnerving to rest such hopes on two brand new coaches, but on the other, the coaches are new because those issues were recognized, and they're presumably here to fix them.

2. Linebacking seems to be another area of concern. I'm very interested to see how Te'o's arrival goes, because if he's as good as advertised, the defense could look a lot different by the regular season than it does now. Not exactly pinning any hopes to that, though.

3. I have no doubts that Clausen, despite a thoroughly 'meh' spring game, will be a reliable asset during the season. If there is one thing Weis can do, it's cultivate a quarterback.

4. I'm very enthused about having several tight ends on the roster again this year. It's evident that much of Weis's flexibility when it comes to gameplanning relies on an effective tight end that can block and catch passes, and it looks like we might have a couple of those. I don't know if talented tight ends are the Rosetta Stone of the Good Weis Offense, where passes get circulated, screens develop, and points are scored, as opposed to the Bad Weis Offense, where receivers don't get open, quarterbacks get sacked, and single yards on third down are as elusive as the Sasquatch, but I can hope.

5. So help me, optimism has me in its grasp. I'm trying my damndest to shake loose, but its tentacles are so strong.

Saturday, April 25, 2009

Pouring a Draft | by Jay

With the NFL draft set to start in a little bit, I thought I'd point out a few good reads from this week pertaining to the Irish and the draft. Frank at UHND has some great stuff on all-time Irish draft steals and draft busts; Trevor Laws recounted to the Philly Inquirer his draft-day jitters from last year; and Mike Rothstein at the FWJG had a lively Q&A with David Bruton, detailing his expectations for the draft today and how everyone back home in Miamisburg, Ohio, is rooting for him.

Bruton, as we know, is likely the only Irish graduate to get drafted this weekend (Terrail Lambert is probably the only other possibility, but even he's a longshot). The other candidates -- Mo Crum, Pat Kuntz, Mike Turkovich, and Asaph Schwapp -- will end up being free agents and might get a camp tryout here or there. Crum, for his part, talked about his prospects with Rothstein.

Irish Insights: What's the next plan (if you don't get drafted)? Would you do the free agent thing? Would you do something else?

MC: "I'd go free agent, just from talking with my coaches and people who know football, most of them seem to think that for whatever reason I didn't get the recognition or whatever but most of them think I'm good enough to play at the next level so I believe I can play at the next level. I'll just have to go a different route and whatever happens happens. As long as I get a chance to prove myself and have an opportunity, that's all I can ask for. If it doesn't work out that way, then I'll move on but I am going to 100 percent pursue football."

Irish Insights: After the season was over, were you somewhat surprised you weren't invited to the NFL combine considering the career you had?

MC: "I was a little shocked by that, that I didn't get an invite, that I didn't get a chance to attend. I was just shocked. I guess I wasn't supposed to be there, I just don't know. It's one of those things you can't really explain but you have to accept it and move on.

Irish Insights: When you see that, is that a reality check for you?

MC: "No, not really. It's a lot of things that go on that I never really understood and I just put it in that category."

Irish Insights: When you're talking to teams, what do you say to them to sell yourself?

MC: "For one, I tell them that as far as being on the field, that I eventually become an extension of the coaching staff on the field through leadership and being a smart player and getting the system down and helping other players on the field to know if they don't know what they are doing, our chances on the field to be successful become that much greater. I feel like I can bring that to a team and lastly, I'm a team player. I love football and just love to play the game nad be around a team. You don't have to worry any issues or problems with me and whatever team I'm with, I'll give 110 percent."
Having just one guy drafted is pretty poor, but it is not an unprecedented occurrence for the Irish; if you look at the history of Notre Dame players taken, you'll see a few years with pretty low yields. The last time we had a solitary draft pick was in 2000, when Jarious Jackson was the only Irish player to hear his name called (in the seventh round, to the Broncos). In 1998, Allen Rossum walked alone (picked by the Eagles), but then you have to go all the way back to 1977 to find somebody else flying solo (running back Al Hunter, to the Seahawks).

Usually, the Irish have at least a handful of guys walking across the stage. Although the number of rounds in the draft has changed (going from as high as 26 rounds in the 1940s, to the current 7-round format) and the overall number of players drafted has fluctuated, if you draw a line at the first 270 players taken, the Irish have averaged just over 5 picks per draft going back to 1967 (the first year that we have a good accounting of not just the round, but the specific selection number where a player was taken).

With just Bruton getting drafted this year, and just four guys drafted the year before, I was curious how heavily "draft pick-laden" different teams were over the years for the Irish. I took a quick rack-up of draft picks, and then summed the total number of guys who were eventually drafted who were on the roster at the time, whether they were seniors or freshmen or whatever. Here's the spreadsheet. Obviously this is just a quick tally and doesn't take into account transfers, nor does it do any weighting (by draft position, class year, or anything else). But I think it still shows a correlation between a team's record, and how many draft picks it eventually produced. If I have some time, I might do some weighting and see what else shakes out.

Sunday Update: David Bruton goes to the Broncos in the 4th round, the 114th pick overall in the draft, and the sixth safety taken.

Monday Update: 5 ND players signed as free agents with David Grimes headed to Denver, Mike Turkovich and Asaph Schwapp joining the Dallas Cowboys, Terrail Lambert headed west to San Francisco, and Pat Kuntz staying in Indiana with the Colts. Mo Crum and Justin Brown are expected to sign with teams soon.