We had sparser participation in this year's ticket lottery poll, but that's our fault for waiting a few weeks after the results were announced. Still, we had around 750 entries (after filtering for shenanigans), so it's a pretty good spread. Here are the results.
|Game ||All Apps||Regular Alum||Sorin Society||Monogram|
|req ||won ||rate ||req ||won ||rate ||req ||won ||rate ||req ||won ||rate |
|@ Michigan ||222||86||39%||130||40||31%||76||38||50%||16||8||50%|
|Michigan State ||884||796||90%||494||408||83%||327||325||99%||63||63||100%|
|@ Purdue ||82||75||91%||48||41||85%||26||26||100%||8||8||100%|
|Southern Cal ||1150||686||60%||635||227||36%||428||374||87%||87||85||98%|
|Boston College ||808||764||95%||432||392||91%||305||301||99%||71||71||100%|
|Wash. State (@ SA) ||230||226||98%||144||140||97%||70||70||100%||16||16||100%|
|@ Pittsburgh ||211||99||47%||119||53||45%||74||36||49%||18||10||56%|
|@ Stanford ||94||92||98%||50||48||96%||34||34||100%||10||10||100%|
It should be obvious to anyone browsing this table, but I'll spell it out: win rates were way up this year, with only Southern Cal falling below a 90% win rate for home games. In the three years we've done the poll, these are the highest win rates we've ever seen, including following the lackluster 2007 season. (Earlier polls available here: 2006, 2007, 2008). Last year, only one home game hit the 90% mark (Syracuse), while even less star-studded games were a tough ticket (Stanford, just 14%). This year, six of the seven home games were up over 90%, with Nevada, Washington, Navy, and Connecticut being damned near guaranteed admission, just for asking. Two years ago, the Southern Cal win rate was a measly 4%; this year, it's up to 60%.
And with the win rates being so high, it's safe to say that demand in this year's lottery was way, way down. In fact, we had more than a few comments from people submitting blank entries, with explanations that no application was sent this year.
What's the reason? The economy? Lack of disposable cash on hand this year? Or diminished expectations for the Irish, and a crummy slate of home games to boot? Probably a little of each.